This week, the big changes are in Michigan and Virginia where Clinton had safe leads just a month ago – now both are almost toss-ups.
A Detroit Free Press poll put Hillary and Trump within the margin of error in Michigan. The survey also asked respondents which candidate’s immigration stance they preferred.
53% of those asked favored Trump’s immigration policy while only 35% think Hillary has the right answer.
A new University of Mary Washington poll put Trump within 3 points of Clinton in Tim Kaine’s home state of Virginia where the democrat held a double-digit lead just a few weeks ago.
These two polls were held from the 9th to the 12th of September which puts the timespan mainly in-front of Hillary’s “overheating” event on 9-11 and likely doesn’t capture voter’s sentiments on the ham-handed cover-up attempt by her campaign.
I discussed the polls that were released earlier in the week in Maine, Florida, Colorado and Nevada.
Taking the polls above into consideration there are a few changes in our electoral analysis:
- Maine goes toss-up (-3 Hillary)
- Maine CD2 goes likely GOP (no change)
- We’ll watch Nevada closely to see if it should be moved to leaning GOP
- Colorado goes toss-up as long as Johnson stays in the race
Oh my word .. things are looking unsteady for the Democrat nominee…
I’m not ready to push Virginia and Michigan to toss-ups off of just these polls. Once we get some polling in those states that includes the collapse and cover-up of 9-11 in full, we may flip both. For now, here’s the state of the electoral college by our analysis:
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