The 2024 Presidential Election

We know who the candidates are for 2024. We’ll use all available polling to predict who will win and how they’ll do it.

The map is overwhelmingly in Trump’s favor. Interestingly, Biden’s leads in Minnesota and Virginia are both just 4 points which, if Biden’s support continues to evaporate, could have them go toss-up or flip red before the election.

Seven states are currently considered battlegrounds: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin. Trump is leading in the polls in all but Pennsylvania where Biden’s slim .8% lead in poll averages is trending Trump’s way with the latest two polls giving Trump the edge in PA by 2 and 6 points all but erasing Biden’s January average lead of 4 points. We’ll leave the Keystone State a toss-up until we see if Trump’s upward trend continues.