Tag Archives: 2012 Election News

Well, Romney’s ORCA Got Harpooned

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While many expected high Republican vote turnout, that just wasn’t the case on Nov. 6.  Mitt Romney received less votes in Ohio than John McCain in 2008, and received three million less votes in the popular vote than John McCain.  As Amanda Carpenter tweeted the day after the election, while many were expecting our people to show up at the polls – “no one made sure of it.”  In all, it was an epic disaster.

It all points to Romney’s ORCA program.  A digital app that was suppose to make the process of strike listing much more efficient.  In olden times, a poll worker would strike the names of people who have voted, call into the local campaign HQ reiterating the names of voters who haven’t showed up, and prompt HQ to mobilize their volunteers working at the phone banks to call the voters in question or drive  to their residences, personally, and take them to the polls.  It’s worked for decades.

However, in the digital age, things like a complete system crash can happen, and that’s what harpooned ORCA on Election Day.  According to John Ekdahl, who posted the epic failure of this strategy on Ace of Spades on Nov. 8:

From the very start there were warning signs. After signing up, you were invited to take part in nightly conference calls. The calls were more of the slick marketing speech type than helpful training sessions. There was a lot of “rah-rahs” and lofty talk about how this would change the ballgame.

Working primarily as a web developer, I had some serious questions. Things like “Has this been stress tested?”, “Is there redundancy in place?” and “What steps have been taken to combat a coordinated DDOS attack or the like?”, among others. These types of questions were brushed aside (truth be told, they never took one of my questions). They assured us that the system had been relentlessly tested and would be a tremendous success.

On one of the last conference calls (I believe it was on Saturday night), they told us that our packets would be arriving shortly. Now, there seemed to be a fair amount of confusion about what they meant by “packet”. Some people on Twitter were wondering if that meant a packet in the mail or a pdf or what. Finally, my packet arrived at 4PM on Monday afternoon as an emailed 60 page pdf. Nothing came in the mail. Because I was out most of the day, I only got around to seeing it at around 10PM Monday night. So, I sat down and cursed as I would have to print out 60+ pages of instructions and voter rolls on my home printer. Naturally, for reasons I can’t begin to comprehend, my printer would not print in black and white with an empty magenta cartridge (No HP, I will never buy another one of your products ever again). So, at this point I became panicked. I was expected to be at the polls at 6:45AM and nothing was open. I was thankfully able to find a Kinko’s open until 11PM that was able to print it out and bind it for me, but this is not something I should have had to do. They expected 75-80 year old veteran volunteers to print out 60+ pages on their home computers? The night before election day? From what I hear, other people had similar experiences. In fact, many volunteers never received their packets at all.

At 6:30AM on Tuesday, I went to the polls. I was immediately turned away because I didn’t have my poll watcher certificate. Many, many people had this problem. The impression I got was this was taken care of because they had “registered me”. Others were as well. But apparently, I was supposed to go on my own to a Victory Center to pick it up, but that was never communicated properly. Outside of the technical problems, this was the single biggest failure of the operation. They simply didn’t inform people that this was a requirement. In fact, check out my “checklist” from my ORCA packet:

Notice anything missing? My guess is the second “Chair (if allowed)” was supposed to be “poll watcher certificate” but they put chair twice. This was an instruction packet that went out to 30,000+ people. Did no one proof-read it?

Furthermore, when the system did crash,

 …the end result was that 30,000+ of the most active and fired-up volunteers were wandering around confused and frustrated when they could have been doing anything else to help. Like driving people to the polls, phone-banking, walking door-to-door, etc. We lost by fairly small margins in Florida, Virginia, Ohio and Colorado. If this had worked could it have closed the gap? I sure hope not for my sanity’s sake.

The bitter irony of this entire endeavor was that a supposedly small government candidate gutted the local structure of GOTV efforts in favor of a centralized, faceless organization in a far off place (in this case, their Boston headquarters). Wrap your head around that.

Bethany Mandel at Commentary wrote about a similar story about  “Shoshanna McCrimmon [who] signed up to volunteer on Romney’s website several months ago.  She was contacted by Dan Centinello of the Romney campaign and underwent online and phone training that lasted for several hours in order to volunteer locally on Election Day. Because of secrecy concerns, the application itself was inaccessible until the morning of the election. From the outset there were failures of organization.”

First:

Shoshanna wasn’t given the credentials necessary to gain access to the polling place and was told to arrive when the polls opened at 7. A few days before the election, she was emailed a PDF packet, which she was meant to print out, containing the names of all of the registered voters at her polling place and instructions. Her location’s packet was only dozen or so pages; Ekdahl’s packet was over sixty. The packet was supposed to contain credentials, but they did not. Shoshana’s email to the Romney campaign the night before the election about the lack of credentials went unanswered. When Shoshanna arrived on time at 7 a.m., she learned that polls had actually opened an hour prior.

Unable to test her pin number and password until that morning, she discovered, only after after she arrived at the polling location ready to work, that her pin was invalid. She spent until 2:30 that afternoon on calls to Boston every 45 minutes trying to get a new one. She attempted to input the voter information via phone dial-pad–the first backup plan–but her invalid pin number was useless. Plan C, calling in to Boston and verbally transmitting the information, was also a wash. The same phone number for dial pad and voice reporting was given–there was no option to ask to speak to Boston directly after calling in.

After finally getting her pin number in the late afternoon, Shoshanna attempted to log into the site. She had been sent an email from the Romney campaign that morning (after polls opened) telling her that cell phones were often not allowed in polling places, after she was previously warned not to forget to bring her cell phone in other emails. Thankfully, her polling place allowed her to use her cell phone. The website, on a secure server, was inaccessible from her cell phone (Ekdahl explains why in detail). By this point hundreds of voters had passed through Shoshanna’s polling station, unreported. Nevertheless, she went home, retrieved her laptop, and thanks to the pastor at the polling place (a church) she gained access to a locked wireless network. It was only at that point that Shoshanna was able to access ORCA, with only a few hours left before polls closed.

Additionally, besides the program crashing, it was never stress tested, therefore, and was “unable to withstand thousands of simultaneous log-ins. The system had never been stress tested and couldn’t handle the crush of traffic all at once. Thousands of man-hours went into designing and implementing a program that was useful on one day and one day only, and on that day, it crashed.”

While we all have a lot of work to do, especially expanding our base of support amongst Hispanics, younger voters, and women – we need to make sure that GOTV operations won’t be a fiasco.  Democrats are king in this area for now.  They’ve successfully merged new coalitions with old, and have built a massive database of voters who will help them ensure victory.  As Allahpundit posted on Hot Air two days after the election that “in ObamaWorld, they were using behavioral scientists  to build a gigantic database of current and potential voters and to fine tune their message at a granular level not only to win people’s votes but to get them to turn out.”

As such, we cannot afford more ORCAs.

Originally posted on The Young Cons.

Are conservatives too far right for American presidential elections

Mitt Romney did not lose because conservatives are not too far right to win presidential elections

Do you truly believe that conservatives in Ohio, Florida, Colorado, Virginia or any other state in America were just too, too far to the right for Mitt Romney or any Republican to win? The notion is incredibly meritless on its face. The facts are quite simple. Obama saw a drop of nine million plus voters from his 2008 vote totals for president. 1.6 million less blacks voted for him than did in 2008 as well.

The true fact is that Romney received nearly 2 million less votes from conservatives than Senator John McCain did in 2008. The truth appears to be that more conservatives have to be brought to the election table and for the right reasons.

Already there are apologists in the republican establishment who are straining their neck to receive the nod of approval from mainstream media pundits and the alphabet soup networks. Their goal is to toss conservatives under the bus.

Liberal pundits like MSNBC Chris Matthews, Rachel Maddow and Al Sharpton are crowing over the thug-in-chief behavior of Obama and his Chicago campaign street crew. They believe it is permissible to attack, demean and destroy republicans and Tea Party candidates because, after all those Republicans and those Tea Party people are “not decent, and are racist!”

Instead, these pathetic pundits were very desperate to showcase on as many network broadcasts as humanly possible the bowing and scraping of New Jersey Governor Chris Christie. They could not wait to display for the nation Christie’s love fest adoration for Obama over a Hurricane Sandy photo-op. This is the picture that liberals want conservatives to change into.

If that were to happen in some alternative universe, the reality still will remain the same. The liberals and mainstream media will still demonize Republican and Tea Party candidates, but they will repeatedly kick their butt with a smile. Meanwhile in New Jersey, hundreds of thousands of people still are cold, without food, housing or power. Where is Obama’s promise of a15 minute phone call response for those who are suffering in worse than Hurricane Katrina conditions?

Ahhh yes. Phones must not work in the White House. Conservatives should be good little boys and girls and take a long walk off a short pier just like Governor Christie did in selling out his state for a disingenuous smile from Obama. The commander of stealth also threw in a Bruce Springsteen phone call for Christie too. 30 pieces of silver would have gotten him a lot more.

The reality is as plain as the U.S. Constitution and the rationale for why its framers did not compromise their principles to the British. Sure, it is always easier to kneel on bended knee and give into the whims of the oppressor. It may seem easier to look the other way and believe that your home can be invaded , but as long as it is alright and they knock first, then it is OK, some may try to rationalize.

That type of delusional belief system guarantees that the United States will cease to be a nation that raises its citizens to believe in fighting for the right to protect their homes against enemies both foreign and domestic. By giving away the nation’s values and conservative principles so that the tyranny of a school yard bully can set the law of the playground of America is repugnant. It does not make the liberal bully president’s behavior any more legitimate because the mainstream media acting as the principal of the school and the liberal classmates agree to support the bully’s offensive behavior

You see, America is at a crossroads. The nation’s conservatives are not too far right in order to win elections. The 2010 congressional elections where the Tea Party thrashed the liberals and soundly rejected the president’s socialist agenda is a case in point.

The charge that conservatives and undecided American voters have to contend with is to determine what type of America your children will inherit. The other question is, what are you willing to fight for?

Will you take the attitude that it is better to wait and see what happens, when you already know that this president and his co-conspirators in the mainstream media are slowly stripping away your rights. Will you wait and see how much of your religious beliefs should be taken, or your right to a job? Will you call yourself too conservative because you agree that your child or your neighbor can be denied a job or college acceptance because they were not born as part of a “protected class” or were not an illegal alien?

Are you too conservative and far to the right because biblical principles which this nation is founded upon are just too difficult to fight for? The U.S. Constitution is more than just a document and the biblical teachings upon which this nation is founded is more than an interesting collection of words

2 Thessalonians 2:15: “So then, brothers, stand firm and hold to the teachings we passed on to you, whether by word of mouth or by letter.”

These constitutional and biblical principles are worth standing firm upon, even when the liberal bullies on the left reside in the offices of the media elite or the Oval office. Be proud that you want to elect representatives who have the will and faith to stand against the demagoguery of a community organizer from Chicago who brought his socialist training and beliefs to the presidency.

Obama’s reelection does not give him or his followers the privilege or the license to search out and destroy the American dream for its citizens because they seek freedom over liberal servitude. You are on the right for justice and recognize that elections do have consequences if lies are accepted as truth.

Elections do not determine the character of the president; it is principles and values which will not stand down against liberalism even if it elects leaders who destroy conservative values with impunity. Instead stand up aside your neighbor and then add one more, then add another. Stand up and do not let an election based on manipulation and lies and riddled with hidden truths fill you with dismay, depression or defeat.

The conservative movement, the Tea Party movement, the faith movement, the right to life movement has only begun to fight. The House of Representatives is the peoples’ house, and conservatives and Tea Party elected leaders are in firm control. Build upon that. Send them not only a message that they must not submit to the narrative of defeat. Instead show them by your organizing efforts that, help is on the way.

Conservatives are not too far right for American elections. America must be brought back home to its founding heredity so that future elections will be in a country that has reemerged with stronger roots. It will not be a nation that is buried in a valueless shallow grave of liberals’ morals.

In the end, if moderating conservative beliefs and faith, means one has to embrace the new Obama philosophy of hate and revenge, then walk away. Be proud to continue the battle for the honor and integrity of conservative values for “Love of country which continues to be one nation under God

 ( Let me know what you think  – click )

Caterpillar Flees Minnesota

Once a backdrop for President Obama’s campaign to pass the Stimilus Bill in 2009, Caterpillar Inc. is making a mad dash for the border and they are leaving 100 employees behind.

Caterpillar’s Owatonna, MN production plant will cease production in March 2013, according to executives who met with the 100 laid-off workers just 2 days after the November 6th election.

“We value our employees’ contributions, and these actions are not a reflection of them, but rather the result of a need to make our business more efficient and competitive,” Caterpillar said in a statement.

Given the timing of the announcement and the outcomes in Minnesota state legislative races, one has to assume the move is at least in part politically motivated.

In 2010, on the wave of Tea Party and liberty-minded activists throughout the country, Minnesota’s state legislature saw a Republican led House and Senate for the first time in decades. The state had a $6.2 billion deficit at the time, despite having a Democrat governor. Just 2 years later, the Democrat party will again take control of the legislature and budget, now with a $1.2 billion surplus and no Republicans to stop the taxes and spending.

According to The Tax Foundation, a non-partisan tax research group in Washington, DC, Minnesota ranks 45th in the country on the State Business Tax Climate Index. It should be no surprise that companies will continue to leave Minnesota if the tax climate remains dismal. Others have already left or laid off thousands of employees in recent years including State Farm, Polaris and Lockheed Martin.

Caterpillar is one of many companies moving to more business-friendly states, decreasing their work force or closing shop altogether. The list of companies announcing layoffs and closings includes big names like Energizer, Bristol-Meyers, US Cellular and Boeing.

Ohio-based Murray Energy is the country’s largest privately owned coal mining company. CEO Robert Murray announced layoffs for more than 100 workers citing the reelection of President Obama and the administration’s “war on coal” as deciding factors.

Perhaps the American worker should have focused more on the Obama administration’s very real “war on jobs” and less on the manufactured “war on women.”

They Cannot Lose Something They Never Knew They Had

As the fall out from Election Night 2012 continues, the right has descended into a nasty round of infighting once again. Fiscal conservatives point the fingers at social conservatives for the loss. Social conservatives point the finger right back, and warn of the right slowly sliding into a party of “leftism light”. The Tea Party is pointing fingers at the GOP establishment for the loss. Yet others are blaming Mitt Romney’s campaign for not being dirty enough, or in the last 48 hours, for the massive failure of Romney’s technology system known as ORCA. Yet others are placing the blame on the libertarians, and Ron Paul and Gary Johnson supporters, who they feel took votes away from Romney.

Regardless, many seem to be missing a vital point of what Election 2012 Night told us.

And what that is, is simple: That too many Americans are amazingly unaware that their liberty and their freedom are being stripped from them slowly but surely in the name of “fairness” and the “social safety net”.  The idea of having the government provide for their lives, to support them throughout the entirety of their lives, does not disturb them. This is a very big problem, and one that may not be corrected until America is facing some very dark days indeed.

In truth, it comes as no surprise. The following examples I’m about to share about how this mindset has permeated American culture may be called racist by some. So be it. It’s reality, and it’s reality that’s caught on tape.

How can one, or how can a movement, make a convincing argument that BIG government always shades towards the tyrannical, and is perhaps one of the most dangerous conditions any people can face when you have people like the “Obamaphone” lady, or, from a few years ago, the “Obama money” lady.  Popping up in late September, the Obamaphone lady was captured at an anti-Mitt Romney rally, and a short interview with her revealed that she had acquired 30 government issued cellphones, and that that reason alone was why people should vote for Obama. This disturbing exchange can be found here.

The three-year-old clip of the “Obama money” lady is just as disturbing. In that clip, a woman is interviewed and is asked what she’s doing. She simply replies that she’s there to get some of that “Obama money”. When asked, where that money comes from, or what it truly is, she has no answer really, other than to say that she wants that “Obama money”. This shed lights on a mindset that apparently has infected tens of millions of Americans, and that is the idea that the government should provide money to people for reasons unknown, other than apparently that’s just how it should be.

This clip, which was released today, shows college students outside of the White House on election night. Once news spread that President Obama had won a second term, they break out into chants of “Karl Marx”, “socialism” and, not surprisingly, “Obamaphones.” More than anything, this shows that this mentality that government and the ideas of madmen whose theories have been proven to be awful again and again in the last hundred years or so, run across all socioeconomic and racial lines.

To me, what was perhaps the most disturbing in the run-up to the 2012 election and the argument between free-market capitalism and either socialism or communism, is how little impact the words of immigrants in the U.S. who escaped socialist or communist countries, had on the majority of people. In this Business Insider article, a young woman who escaped El Salvador tells of her efforts here in America to educate people about how badly it goes for EVERYONE when either a socialist or communist regime takes over a country.  A few highlights of the points she makes include the facts that :

  • Socialism ended her mother’s small business in their home country
  • Led people to want to remove free enterprise and individual rights to create “equality.”
  • Politics made business owners move to other countries and stopped job creation where these businesses started (especially pertinent considering the flood of stories about business closing and laying off people in scores in the three days since the election)
They tried to warn us, multiple times, about where we’re heading. Late in the election cycle, Hungarian-born Thomas Petterfy released a powerful ad warning of the ills that befall ALL people when socialism or communism is implemented in a country. This Businessweek post outlines Petterfy’s story, and his thoughts on what is happening in America as we speak. (The link for his ad is here.)
Now the fact that these two immigrants, who have directly experienced the hardships and misery of socialism and/or communism had little impact on a national scale, tells us much.
But perhaps what it tells us the most is this : That people cannot value the loss of something they never knew they had. And it appears now, more than ever, that Americans are not aware of and do not value their personal liberty, their freedom, their sovereignty, anymore.
To wrap this all up, one famous quote of one of our Founding Fathers has been running through my mind in the days since America decided on socialism and big government for the next four years. It’s the anecdote about Benjamin Franklin being asked by a woman what exactly was it the Founders had created during those fateful days leading up to the creation of this country. His reply was simple, and dramatic.
“A Republic, if you can keep it.”
And sadly enough, it appears we finally lost it.

Where Do Republicans Go From Here?

From the conservative blog The Elephant in the Room – www.loudmouthelephant.com:

As all of you have undoubtedly realized, November 6th, 2012 was not a good day for the GOP. If elections and politics were a matter of winning and losing, we lost big time. In the presidential election and in most senate races, the republican party did not perform strongly.

Fortunately for republicans, and for the nation, elections and politics are not about winning and losing; they’re about ideas, proposals, and problem solving. While the pangs of Tuesday night will surely resound for weeks to come, this isn’t a time to sulk, bicker, and blame. Reassessing the past and licking our wounds will do us little good. It’s time to work together as a party, a coalition, and a cause to bring us together for not only the sake of our institution, but for the greater good of our country.

What is this about? Teamwork. It’s as simple as that. It has been observed and reported that the democrats and Team Obama have a great “ground game” and that’s what propelled the President to victory. I believe this is very accurate. There is something to learn from our losses, however. Since this isn’t a game to be won or lost… since this isn’t a battle by which we must hurt the other side in order for us to succeed, the best way to move forward is to work together, not only improving our “ground game,” but our message, plans, and platform overall.

So where does it start? Well, for starters, I think it’s all about education. In all honesty, the GOP has some truly great ideas based on some respectable and virtuous principles, but we haven’t done a great job at spreading the word. Let’s face it; we’ve lost 5 out of the last 6 elections with respect to the popular vote. I don’t believe it’s the result of having inferior ideas; I believe it’s the result, mainly, of being poorer at educating the public about our ideas. While no platform is perfect, and I’m sure some things will change for the GOP as a result of this election, we have not only been on the losing side of telling our story, but the democrats have been telling our story for us. Obviously, they’re not going to paint a rosy version of our side, as expected, and because of that, misinformation about what we believe has spread rapidly.

This message, however, is not about setting a plan for what message we want to spread; I’m sure those specifics will be ironed out over the next year. This message is about how we should spread it, calling everyone on our side to be, well…. Loudmouth Elephants. We all need to be teachers of our ideas, and we all need to be sharing these ideas often. We are a diverse group comprising various skills, and we should be utilizing these more effectively. Some of us write while others talk. Some have radio shows while some run websites. Regardless, if we do not work hard at expressing our views and sharing the exemplary ideals we cherish, we can expect many more November 6th-like nights to occur for years to come. Keep in mind, this isn’t about becoming militant. There is nothing beneficial to us or to our country to become isolationists or “exclusivists.” Many Americans, for example, claim to have conservative economic beliefs, but conversely, they are turned off by other aspects of our platform. Whether their perceptions of that platform are factual or not is irrelevant; it’s our job to project the truth about where we stand while rejecting the caricature that has been painted of our ideology and our party. Additionally, this is not about alienation. We can spread our message without cutting off moderates, liberals, or any views that may exist in the melting pot that is our mixed political environment. Most importantly, this isn’t about conversion or proselytization. We don’t have to “convert” people to push our cause; if our message is true, and our ideals are proper, Americans will choose freely to accept many of our views and positions.

How does this connect back to the person? Well, take this blog – I run it (with another member) for the purpose of expressing my views, ideas, and positions. I’m not establishing bedrock principles here as I’ve said time and time again that I’m not the golden standard of socio-economic opinions. I do it to share what I believe, usually from an economic viewpoint, and most importantly, from a conservative launchpad. We all have a base platform, whether its conservative or liberal, and it’s from that base that we grow and express our views. It’s from that base that we should teach. I’m here to share my opinions, to debate facts, to question norms, and to pose new ideas, but it’s not an exclusive proposition. I welcome conservatives here to learn information they can share, and just as important, I welcome liberals here to learn not only some of my interpretations of conservatism, but about the mixture of conservative views that do exist in the country today. While many from the “other side” will certainly walk away unmoved, they hopefully will have learned from the civil environment I promote as well as why I believe what I believe. Though economic analysis is in my “wheelhouse,” I’m sure now that because the election has passed, most of my writings and expression will center on philosophy and ideological ideas. Again, this is a time to educate, work together, conservatives and liberals alike, and to be resolute going forward.

In closing, this isn’t a call to arms. It’s a call to teach. What do I ask of you? Whether you’re a daily follower or a first-time reader, a liberal, moderate, or a conservative, subscribe to the blog. It costs nothing, and it might take 35 seconds of your time. There are numerous free options at the top right section of the blog, and no, you will never receive spam. Please choose whatever option (“Subscribe to this Blog” or “Follow by email”) works best for you. This isn’t a marketing ploy. It’s a simple recognition that this forum, this avenue, can be a wonderful place, even on a small, community-sized level, to effect the change, spread the message, and grow the community as we desire. This forum is a tool that can be used to help us grow.

So please, subscribe and start receiving email and RSS updates. Participate in our forums, share your beliefs, and tell others about them. When you learn something from here, share it… teach it. If you have something to share, teach it… defend it. Take away and bring ideas alike. I don’t want the country to be one sided. I don’t want it to be overwhelmingly left, and believe it or not, I don’t want it to be overwhelmingly right. I want it to be balanced, and I do see, however, the direction this country is going. If there is a compromise to be made, we aren’t going to make it if we are phased out, and we aren’t going to make it if our voice grows smaller.

Thank you to all who read this, and I look forward to sharing views, philosophies, and analyses going forward!

P.S. Vote in the poll on the left side of the blog – it helps give an idea of what people, both on the left and the right, think with respect to how the GOP should move forward.

The Day After…

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Well, we lost.  Mitt Romney didn’t win comfortably.  BUT, Republicans maintained control of the House of Representatives.  In one of the most ignominious highlights of the night, the GOP lost two senate seats – increasing the Democratic majority by two.  The current makeup is 55 Democrats to 45 Republicans.  In a milestone for the ladies, 20% of the U.S. Senate will be represented by women.  However, the night ended a bit like 2004 in reverse.

While the notions of GOP turnout seemed assured, it was rarely monitored, and turnout for the youth (and voter turnout in general) was unexpectedly high.  To no one’s surprise, young voters broke for the president (60-36), but represented a larger share of the electorate than four years ago.  Romney’s lead amongst independents wasn’t enough to overcome the Latino vote, which he lost to Obama miserably 72%-23%.  Lastly, Romney wasn’t able to cut into the gender gap quite as effectively as he wanted to, with the president winning women, overall, by eleven points.  However, it’s with unmarried women that Romney had a fatal disadvantage with, as they broke for Obama 67% to 31%.

On states, betting on Pennsylvania proved to another catastrophic play.  We haven’t won the Keystone State in almost a quarter century, and it may be time to part company completely.  Concerning Wisconsin, the state may have swung right on recent elections, but perhaps the ‘fairness voters’ – voters who may not agree with Walker’s policies, but are appalled that unions would want to revoke an election result – turned out to vote for the president this time.  In Ohio and Virginia, Romney’s failure to execute the war on coal narrative sooner, and formulating a response to the Bain ads, contributed to his defeat.

Without a doubt, the Bain ads – the Obama campaign’s first official salvo in their ‘Kill Romney’ strategy –  released right after Mitt unofficially clinched the Republican nomination resonated with Buckeye residents, and shame on the Governor’s communications team, who were on the defensive for most of the election cycle.  In short, like with Goldwater in ’64, the Obama campaign was able to define Romney – before Romney could define himself.  It’s another costly misfire.

However, I truly feel that Mitt Romney ran a good campaign, and did the best he could’ve with what he had regarding resources.  It’s hard to be successful when you don’t have a Karl Rove, James Carville, or David Plouffe on your side.  It also hurt that he couldn’t run on health care, since Romneycare served as the blue print for one of the most egregious affronts to the constitution since the Alien and Sedition Acts of the Adams administration.

Yet, if you looked at the field from the beginning, It was either going to be Mitt Romney or Rick Perry fighting for the nomination.  Newt and Cain treated this serious event in American politics with the maturity of eight year olds at a lemonade stand – with the lemonade being books.  For many Americans, Michele Bachmann failed the threshold question of any presidential candidate, which is do I trust this person with nuclear weapons?  Disgraced former Pennsylvanian Senator Rick Santorum failed the conservative test, in my opinion, by voting for Medicare Part D, which added $ 7 trillion to the unfunded liability of the program. That’s 20% of the entire unfunded liability, which we now have to deal with before the fiscal cliff.  He voted for Sonia Sotomayor for circuit judge. Santo voted against National Right to Work, Food Stamp reform, a flat tax, and Medicaid reform.  He voted for internet taxes, the unionization of FedEx (twice), and No Child Left Behind.  He took that one for the team.

Rick Perry, my choice for president, flamed out in one of the most epic derailments we’ve probably seen in a long time.  Jon Huntsman was too moderate.  Ron Paul was well, Ron Paul. So, we were left with Mitt Romney.  Sometimes the pickings of the field aren’t too stellar, and we have to deal with that.

Again, I don’t blame Romney for the loss.  Yes, Obama’s record of economic pain, which he has inflicted without mercy on the American people, is long, but his political team, along with the media, were able to spin it just enough to trivialize the fallout.  As Ralph Reed, Founder and former Executive Director for the Faith and Freedom Coalition, said at CPAC 2012 last February – we’re about to face “the meanest, toughest, most vicious political team we’ve ever faced.”  He was right, and we paid dearly for it.

Given Obama’s record, and Republicans’ inability to defeat him, it begs the question if the GOP should have any business being in American politics.  Yes, they still do, but renovations need to be made.  We need to do better with women – cough nix the rape talk cough cough – hispanics, and younger voters.  The hispanic vote ruined the California GOP back in 1994 when Prop. 187 established a citizenship screening process and barred illegals from using state services was construed as ‘anti-immigrant.’  It was really protecting the territorial integrity of the United States, a core function of a nation in the international system, but that’s a different debate. Regardless, it was the straw that broke the camel’s back, and California Republicans have been in the bunker ever since.

We need to find ways to protect our sovereign soil, but in a way that doesn’t come off as nativist.  Hispanics are hard-workers, religious, and pro-traditional marriage.  Or, at least, that’s what was the conventional wisdom at the time.  Heather MacDonald posted on National Review yesterday that:

a March 2011 poll by Moore Information found that Republican economic policies were a stronger turn-off for Hispanic voters in California than Republican positions on illegal immigration. Twenty-nine percent of Hispanic voters were suspicious of the Republican party on class-warfare grounds — “it favors only the rich”; “Republicans are selfish and out for themselves”; “Republicans don’t represent the average person”– compared with 7 percent who objected to Republican immigration stances.

spoke last year with John Echeveste, founder of the oldest Latino marketing firm in southern California, about Hispanic politics. “What Republicans mean by ‘family values’ and what Hispanics mean are two completely different things,” he said. “We are a very compassionate people, we care about other people and understand that government has a role to play in helping people.”

So, despite Mitt’s shaky conservative credentials, without a doubt, he’s the most hard-lined presidential candidate on immigration we’ve had in the past ten years – and that didn’t hurt him with these voters.  Bain, on the other hand, probably didn’t help.

Nevertheless, I’m not saying we should be for amnesty.  We shouldn’t be.  Amnesty is unfair and unethical – as is the president’s Dream Act light, which requires illegals to bribe the government $465 from doing it’s job enforcing federal law.  However, what 2012 should show all conservatives is that our coalition, which to Paul Krugman’s chagrin truly represents the ‘Real America,’ is static.  It’s more rural, blue collar, and white.  That’s not enough to win elections.  We need to improve outreach with minorities and venture back into the cities, or places where the people are, to make these contests competitive again.  George W. Bush won 44% of the Latino vote in 2004, with increased majorities in the House and Senate.  It’s not impossible. But it’ll be very difficult trying to chip away at the government’s “role in helping people,” which in Democrat speak for getting these people so dependent on us as possible, so they’re a lock when Election Day arrives.

Concerning the ladies, we need to exert a little more discretion when we talk about rape.  While the Democratic National Convention could’ve been Abortion Fest 2012,the senate races in this cycle should have been more appropriately called Rape Fest.  It’s odd that we even have to mention this, and some blame the Tea Party for these mishaps. I don’t.  The Tea Party is the heart and soul of the Republican Party.  As George Will once noted, they’re the best thing to happen in American politics since the Goldwater insurgency.  Republicans would not be where they are now without the Tea Party, but that does not mean we should accept every one of their primary victors as serious candidates.

As Tucker Carlson and Neil Patel wrote in The Daily Caller yesterday:

The tea party believes the GOP establishment is ideologically corrupt. They’re right. But replacing the current leadership with obviously unqualified buffoons is no remedy. Republicans have lost at least five winnable Senate races in the last two cycles because they fielded candidates whose only real qualification was being anti-establishment. Many will argue the GOP can only win going forward with more liberal candidates. That’s not true. But the genuine conservatives they find will have to come with political skills, policy smarts and impressive resumes in order to get elected.

The sad truth is that even if the Republican Party did all this — sent its current leaders home and stopped nominating losers — it still wouldn’t be enough. The country is changing too fast. Most people have the sense that America is different demographically from what it was 20 years ago. But unless they’ve been reading the latest census data, they have no real idea. The changes are that profound. They’re also permanent and likely to accelerate. In order to remain competitive outside Utah, the GOP will have to win new voters, and soon.

That’s the Republican reformation plan, Stage B. They may get there. First they’ll have to tackle the basics, like finding fresh leadership and candidates who aren’t embarrassing.

That will take some serious vetting.  Furthermore, we’re Republicans.  We’re pro-life, and the American people know that about our movement.  In elections centered on the economy, you can easily pivot away from such issues.  Sadly, some of our fellow party members couldn’t help themselves, they shot their mouths off, and got trounced.  There is much intra-party work to do – and it starts now.

Meanwhile, a divided America exists and the government we elected is representative of that partisanship.  Michael Barone wrote also wrote in National Review that Americans on the right, and the others of the left, are no longer becoming culturally cohesive.

Ronald Reagan, speaking the language of the old, universal popular culture, could appeal to both Americas. His successors, not so much. Barack Obama, after an auspicious start, has failed to do so.

As a result, there are going to be many Americans profoundly unhappy with the result of this election, whichever way it goes. Those on the losing side will be especially angry with those whose candidate won.

Americans have faced this before. This has been a culturally diverse land from its colonial beginnings. The mid-20th-century cultural cohesiveness was the exception, not the rule.

We used to get along by leaving each other alone. The Founders established a limited government, neutral on religion, allowing states, localities, and voluntary associations to do much of society’s work. Even that didn’t always work: We had a Civil War.

An enlarged federal government didn’t divide mid-20th-century Americans, except on civil-rights issues. Otherwise, there was general agreement about the values government should foster.

Now the two Americas disagree, sharply. Government decisions enthuse one and enrage the other. The election may be over, but the two Americas are still not on speaking terms.

It’s sort of like this exchange between President Bartlet and Governor Ritchie.

Right now, Obama is in a good position to increases taxes, which will happen when Obamacare’s fully implemented in 2014, nominate SCOTUS appointments, which threaten to curtail our constitutional rights, and to continue this destructive surge in government spending that only shackles people to the will of the state through dependency.  It’s up to House Republicans to obstruct Democratic plans, and put forward a deluge of alternatives of their own. Granted, we won’t be able to filibuster Supreme Court appointments, but this president’s agenda, and that of the Democrats, is inherently dangerous to the socioeconomic fabric of the country and we must fight them all the way.  Concerning the fiscal cliff, maybe compromise can be reached.  Yet, we should also remember that compromise is how we got Medicare Part D, No Child Left Behind, and the first round of federal stimulus under the Bush administration.  Policies that attributed to the near collapse of the conservative movement in this country.

I’m pessimistic that a deal will be reached.  This president’s ego would bust the marble in the Capitol dome – and he exuded poor presidential leadership as described in Bob Woodward’s new book The Price of Politics.  Yet, Mr. Will again reminds us that throughout the course of American history there is not a single thing that the American people wanted intensely and protractedly that they did not eventually get from the federal government.

Why Obama’s Election Win Did Not Defeat Conservative America

John House Speaker John Boehner (R-OH) discusses how President Obama must deal with fiscal cliff facing the nation

What happened? What happened in America on November 6th in reelecting Barack Obama to a second term was not indicative of how wrong conservative America is in standing up for principles. Instead, the result displayed how far left the mainstream media and the nation’s achievement challenged liberal president has performed.

Obama convinced the country to accept the notion that the America values was based on how much it could give away to targeted groups with welfare checks without work requirements. He increased food stamps to 47 million Americans and handed out education and housing vouchers to illegal immigrants, as well as gay marriage protection against federal laws that prohibit it.

The liberal pundits and mainstream media gotcha specialists have been pontificating about the Romney loss to the hate and revenge president. There are plenty of liberals and even some republican moderates in the media who have been wagging their fingers at conservatives and the Tea Party for not being more moderate in their views about abortion, illegal immigration and adding more crushing debt to the nation’s families.

In fact, conservatives did not lose this election, because in the end, they demonstrated to the nation that America does have a truly bona fide conservative movement in this country. This conservative movement is made up of the 57,588,360 plus voters who on November 6th did not compromise its values to meet the president’s liberal agenda. It will not support a president who engages in solutions which strip the nation of its sovereignty and diminish the founding conservative values and biblical principles.

What occurred in America on November 6th was the drawing of a true line in the sand. This line’s firmness is based upon conservatives and Tea Party supporters who categorically refuse to let themselves be swept away in a tidal wave of false security. These are patriots who will not accept deception from a president who believes that it is better to place a lie before the truth, and embrace character assassination instead of displaying presidential integrity.

What the nation and the world witnessed is quite clear. A community organizer from Chicago armed with the street tools he perfected from socialist Saul Alinsky’s teachings could manipulate the media and obscure the truth. This same president could even cover up the deaths of four Americans in Benghazi, Libya and lie with the full cooperation of CBS’s 60 Minutes. Worse yet, the media let him get away with it until Election Day.

So did Obama and the millions of Americans who believe that fictional accomplishments will somehow magically prevent the crushing debt from destroying their lives and their children’s future really not happen? Will the soul wrenching unemployment rate of 15 percent and more for black Americans and close to 50 percent among black teens suddenly disappear?

What about the Hispanic voters, who decided that a supporting more jobs and legal immigration was less important than supporting illegal aliens who are breaking the immigration laws of this nation. Did they embrace sticking their hands out for government handouts is an acceptable path to becoming an American?

The truth is simple. Liberals Americans believe that hope and change means that they hope that conservatives will change to adopt and embrace their failed presidential candidate’s principles. Liberal media pundits and reporters believe that conservatives should just morph into valueless citizens who are willing to embrace incompetence in Obama’s governance as the best Americans should expect.

This nation is only as great and as enduring as its people neither is unwilling to witness nor permit the undoing of those sacred principles that America’s fore fathers held dear. Conservatives did not lose an election. The 57.8 million plus voters represent 57.8 million starting points for protecting the lives of millions of unborn babies from becoming victims of abortion.

The 57.8 million conservative voters are a beginning rally point to reach out and find one more patriot. This is a starting point to put aside any disappointment over and election and instead recognize this is a war for the nation’s future. A battle was lost, but not the war to protect children from a president Obama, from increasing his goal of taxing as a moral mandate and spending away America’ future. Conservatives can help Obama from continuing to redefine America into becoming a socialist state of America.

Election night, President Obama gave another telling statement about what he considers an olive branch to the conservative side of the political divide. He said, “We are in this together. That’s how we campaigned and that is who we are?”

Mr. President, conservatives, Tea Party Patriots did not campaign to fortify an administration that plunged the country’s financial ratings into the fiscal toilet. Conservatives are not part of your simplistic “that is who we are” ideal of America.

No, Mr. President, “we” are not in this mess that you created together. You created more joblessness, you handed out more food stamps, and you demonized Republicans, and Mitt Romney, because you could, and because the mainstream media willingly cooperated.

Now, Mr. President Obama, let’s see how well your Chicago thuggish tactics actually help Americans to survive in a nation adrift from its founding values. Will you create 12 million jobs and a debt-free future which your lack of job creation experience and ability has saddled the nation with?

Conservative America, this point in history shall too pass, but today marks the beginning of a newer more firm change in America. With the hand of the Creator which guided the nation’s fore fathers, America will begin again. An election will not unravel the will of America’s founding values. Nor can a narcissist leader and administration cause those of faith to bend to his delusional edicts.

As Alexander Hamilton, a founding father of America eloquently pointed out,
“The sacred rights of mankind are not to be rummaged for among old parchments or musty records. They are written, as with a sunbeam, in the whole volume of human nature, by the Hand of Divinity itself, and can never be erased or obscured by mortal power.”

Obama’s win was a win for a mortal man who believes his “rock star status” elevates him among all mortals. But he is still mortal, despite his belief. What happened in America on Election Day, makes November 7th day one for a stronger more determined conservative movement. Each day, will bring conservatives and America to a more vital and more perfect union that is one nation under God.                   (  Click – Let me know what you think )

Obama’s second term – defining the legacy

Arrogant-Obama

On Tuesday night, President Obama was able to take a firm lead in the electoral college and take a larger share of the popular vote than challenger Mitt Romney. The question remains, what will the President want as his legacy after two full terms as the leader of free world?

Bill Clinton became known as a uniting force for his move-to-the-middle just prior to his re-election, George Bush was awarded a war monger label and Reagan will be remembered for the collapse of the Soviet Union. How will Obama shape his second term in order to salvage his legacy?

He could move to the center on the issues of federal spending, government regulation, education and taxation while bringing both houses of Congress together to solve critical issues – a move almost all Americans would appreciate.

On tax reform, the President could push to end deductions for the wealthy and accept the same change for the rest of the tax base as a compromise. It would broaden the tax base, increase revenue and would give on things that leaders of both parties want.

Federal spending will be challenging. The President’s past budgets have failed to garner acceptance from either party in either chamber. The President should at least demand a budget from Congress – it would be the first one in almost four years. The budgeting process will hammer out federal spending and with a divided government, compromises will have to be made. Unwillingness to compromise is the primary reason Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid has avoided the process during Obama’s term.

Government regulation will be more difficult for the ideologue-in-chief. Allowing the free-market the space to run has not been the mainstay of the Obama presidency. Obamacare, coal regulations, gifts to solar and wind companies and government intervention in the bankruptcy of GM and Chrysler were some of what was done in the first four years. There is little hope that Obama will go centrist when he doesn’t have to. The current administration has shown a penchant for legislating from the executive and it is likely to continue. There are several regulatory moves that are near sure bets:

  • The EPA has already started work on a set of oppressive regulations on the coal industry expected to come out at the end of November
  • Obamacare will go into full effect in 2014
  • During the debates, Obama threatened another gun ban – some form of stricter regulations on firearms is expected
  • Student loan reform

The chilling effect on American business could be catastrophic. Between healthcare and rising fuel/energy prices, it will become even harder to hire additional employees than it currently is. Applebees and other huge job creators have already announced plans to cut employee hours in order to avoid costly government rules. With Obamacare repeal a near impossibility now, businesses will start to re-organize for the new reality of America’s economy.

Foreign policy will be tougher for the President. The Middle-East is on fire and getting hotter with Syria and Iran at the center of a downward spiral. Should Israel decide to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities, it is unlikely that Obama would back the U.S. allie. If Iran closes the Straight of Hormuz in response, the U.S. would probably request more sanctions. The Russians can expect Obama to live up to his promise to former President Medvedev to be more flexible.

Despite being re-elected to their positions in the house, many are calling for Republicans to give concessions to the President and Senate. Compromise isn’t about one side giving everything while the other stonewalls. The President will need to work out a grand bargain on the budget or face the fiscal cliff that he set in motion by pushing for sequestration. Harry Reid will need to come to the table ready to compromise every bit as much as John Boehner. If either side goes all-or-nothing, they should expect to get nothing.

Ultimately, President Obama’s legacy is not set-in-stone. How he is written into history is largely up to him. Will he pull both sides together and hammer out real solutions to real problems or will this be another four years of partisan politics and demagoguery? Barack Obama will either be known as the most divisive president in history, the most vacationed president in history or the president that united both parties and got things done – which one is up to him.

Romney Leads Independent Voters In Virginia by Twelve

Screen Shot 2012-11-06 at 7.58.55 PM

So, Romney is leading Indies by twelve in Virginia, and Obama’s lead amongst women isn’t enough, according to Ace.  Virginia is also reporting a heavy voter turnout.

More: CNN’s exits have it 49-49. This almost certainly means it’s in the bag for Team Red.

In addition, I saw secondhand that Obama’s advantage with women is just +5. Not enough.

Everyone Needs To Simmer Down About Virginia, Exit Polls

Screen Shot 2012-11-06 at 7.29.28 PM

Let’s all calm down.  I know a few conservative may have started to sweat after seeing Drudge’s headline showing “boom” for Obama in the early exit polls.  However, Ace of Spades reminds us that in 2004, John Kerry led in the exit polls by nine.

Remember, the 2004 exits had Kerry winning nationally 51-48. Actual result? Pretty much the opposite of that. Bush won by just under three points.

Thus, a nearly +6 bias in favor of Democrats.

You can also ignore the sub-toplines in the exits, for the exact same reason. They’re saying on CNN this is the first election in which Hispanics make up 10% of the voting population. Again — self-selected.D+6. More whites than anyone else avoiding the sociology major.

The exits are, through-and-through, faulty and a big waste of your time.

I say again: Random-digit-dial polls are more accurate.

Kerry, at the end of the night, lost the state – and the election.

Good News Out of PA

Screen Shot 2012-11-06 at 6.28.29 PM

After casting my ballot for Mitt Romney, I tuned into Julie Mason’s The Press Pool on Sirius XM during my three hour trek back to Maryland.  Mason’s guest was Pittsburgh-Tribune Review staff writer and editorial page columnist Salena Zito, who detailed how Romney could win Pennsylvania tonight.  One indicator was Romney’s rally in Bucks County, which drew 30,000 people.  She aptly noted how this doesn’t happen in the collar counties around Philadelphia – especially for a Republican candidate.  Furthermore, out of 1200 Democratic voters polled across the county, Zito found that they feel disillusioned, abandoned, and condescended to by their fellow party members making the decisions in Washington.  Thus, they’re leaning for Romney.

While the Tea Party insurgency and women helped Republicans capture the most House seats since 1948 during the 2010 elections – Zito noted that disenchanted Democrats also played an integral role in the GOP retaking the House two years ago.

Bucks County is the most populous of the collar counties a strong lead could determine how PA will go tonight.

 

U.S Voters Don’t Know Who Elects the President

statue_of_liberty

Amazingly sad.

From the YouTube Description:

Luke Rudkowski hits the streets of NYC again to find out if the voting public knows anything about the U.S Electoral College system. The interviews are very telling with some people knowing about the system while others got it confused with college, the institution of learning. This video was shot November 5th of this year 9pm EST in Time Square NYC. We swear that no intelligent people were edited out of this video, this is a fair representation of the voting public.

Presidential Election Results 2012 [Live Blog and Map]

election results map

After billions of dollars, months of campaigning and a deluge of campaign advertising, election day is here and CDN will be keeping up with voting totals and exit polls.

Next Polls Close: %CODE%

Electoral Results Map

 

Electoral Count (270 needed to win) – Obama Wins

President Obama: 303

Governor Romney: 206

Results (called states will be highlighted red for Romney – Blue for Obama)

Alabama: Obama: 38% || Romney 61% (99% precincts reporting)

Alaska: Romney: 55% || Obama: 42% (67% precincts reporting)

Arizona: Romney: 55% || Obama: 43% (68% precincts reporting)

ArkansasRomney: 60% || Obama: 37% (97% precincts reporting)

California: Romney: 38% || Obama: 58% (69% precincts reporting)

Colorado: Romney: 47% || Obama: 51% (90% precincts reporting)

Connecticut: Obama: 58% || Romney 41% (87% precincts reporting)

Delaware: Obama: 59% || Romney 40% (99% precincts reporting)

Florida: Romney: 49% || Obama: 50% (97% precincts reporting)

GeorgiaRomney: 53% || Obama: 45% (98% precincts reporting)

Hawaii: Romney: 28% || Obama: 71% (97% precincts reporting)

Idaho: Romney: 65% || Obama: 33% (95% precincts reporting)

Illinios: Obama: 57% || Romney 41% (93% precincts reporting)

Indiana: Romney: 54% || Obama: 44% (94% precincts reporting)

Iowa: Romney: 46% || Obama: 52% (96% precincts reporting)

Kansas: Romney: 60% || Obama: 38% (94% precincts reporting)

Kentucky: Romney: 61% || Obama: 38% (98% precincts reporting)

Lousiana: Romney: 59% || Obama: 40% (98% precincts reporting)

Maine: Obama: 56% || Romney 40% (77% precincts reporting)

Maryland: Obama: 61% || Romney 37% (91% precincts reporting)

Massachussetts: Obama: 61% || Romney 37% (96% precincts reporting)

Michigan: Romney: 45% || Obama: 54% (90% precincts reporting)

Minnesota: Obama: 53% || Romney 45% (98% precincts reporting)

Mississippi: Obama: 44% || Romney 55% (92% precincts reporting)

Missouri: Obama: 54% || Romney 44% (94% precincts reporting)

Montana: Romney: 55% || Obama: 42% (82% precincts reporting)

Nebraska: Romney: 61% || Obama: 38% (93% precincts reporting)

Nevada: Romney: 46% || Obama: 52% (93% precincts reporting)

New Hampshire: Obama: 52% || Romney 47% (87% precincts reporting)

New Jersey: Obama: 58% || Romney 41% (94% precincts reporting)

New Mexico: Romney: 43% || Obama: 53% (91% precincts reporting)

New York: Obama: 63% || Romney 36% (85% precincts reporting)

North Carolina: Romney: 51% || Obama: 48% (97% precincts reporting)

North Dakota: Romney: 59% || Obama: 39% (94% precincts reporting)

Ohio: Obama: 50% || Romney 48% (90% precincts reporting)

Oklahoma: Obama: 33% || Romney 67% (93% precincts reporting)

Oregon: Romney: 44% || Obama: 53% (75% precincts reporting)

Pennsylvania: Obama: 52% || Romney 47% (98% precincts reporting)

Rhode Island: Obama: 63% || Romney 35% (88% precincts reporting)

South Carolina: Romney: 55% || Obama: 44% (93% precincts reporting)

South Dakota: Romney: 58% || Obama: 40% (94% precincts reporting)

Tennessee: Obama: 39% || Romney 59% (94% precincts reporting)

Texas: Romney: 57% || Obama: 41% (96% precincts reporting)

Utah: Romney: 73% || Obama: 25% (88% precincts reporting)

VermontRomney: 31% || Obama: 67% (87% precincts reporting)

Virginia: Romney: 48% || Obama: 51% (97% precincts reporting)

Washington: Romney: 43% || Obama: 55% (55% precincts reporting)

Washington D.C: Obama: 91% || Romney 7% (89% precincts reporting)

West Virginia: Obama: 36% || Romney 62% (93% precincts reporting)

Wisconsin: Obama: 53% || Romney 46% (98% precincts reporting)

Wyoming: Romney: 69% || Obama: 28% (98% precincts reporting)

Live Blog

12:44p Romney to make speech within the hour

12:13a Obama wins. The people lose. We have to re-energize to fight for the Senate in 2014.

11:57p No tweets or FB posts from Romney campaign for awhile…

11:56p Things are looking bleak for Ohio, but it’s not over yet.

11:47p Gave Nevada to Obama as expected.. Florida and Ohio are the open issues

11:38p Florida and Ohio are all that remain. Everything else is either decided or too small to change the outcome.

11:26p Only 911 votes separate Obama and Romney in Ohio. We still think Fox called Ohio too fast.

11:23p Although the MSM is calling Ohio for Obama, we’re not there yet.

10:51p Florida, Colorado, Ohio….

10:07p Wisconsin still too close to call. I know the big boys have given it to Obama, but I’m waiting for 4 precincts to report.

9:55p Colorado not showing as strong for Romney as I had expected. I hope I was not as wrong in CO as I think I was in NV

9:53p CDN is calling the Senate to remain in control of Democrats with Brown loss in Mass. 2 more years of Sen. Harry Reid.

9:35p Senate race in trouble unless Brown can pull off Mass.

9:22p Early good news is that the House of Representatives will stay Republican – Senate still up-in-the-air, but likely to remain Democrat-controlled

9:11p Fleischer tells us how VA results are looking good for Romney – I only need a few more precincts to call VA

9:09p Florida much closer than I expected.

8:57p Sean Spicer tells us that the GOP picked up a house seat in Kentucky

8:36p Fleischer thinks exit polls oversample Dems

8:20p Exit polling in Ohio showing near 2008 black vote turnout – could be a problem in that swing state for Romney

7:51p Ari Fleischer talks about exit polling data and young vote in NC

7:50p Wisconsin and Minnesota close next – 10 mins to go

7:38p Vermont exit poll data showing strong liberal Democrat turnout – calling it for Obama

7:29 Ohio, NC and West Virginia just closed

7:23p Florida razor-thin with 8% in

7:09p Paul Ryan tweets about Indiana call

7:08p Florida reports that southern district votes may not be tabulated until tomorrow morning due to high turnout

7:06p Virginia exit polls show close race, but Romney doing well with middle-class and only 8 points down with women

6:50p Polls to close in Georgia, South Carolina, Vermont, Virginia, parts of Florida, New Hampshire at 7pm

6:49 Exit polls show most voters knew who they would vote for before October

6:42p Continuing to peruse the exit polling data: 34% Conservative, 22% Liberal, 44% Moderate – center-right nation?

6:30p Obama takes 60% of urban vote while Romney takes 60% of rural vote (exit polling data)

6:25 Kentucky going as expected, strong for Romney

6:19p Romney: “I only wrote one speech” – victory or bust for the Romney campaign!

6:17p Ohio voters: Things getting better 37%, things getting worse 33%, things not changing 29% – not good news for an incumbent if voters want change.

6:05p Exit polls showing more Republican electorate than in 2008 – Gallup was right – the D+7 turnout model looks flawed – looks good for Romney-Ryan

6:02p National exit polls 46% say we are heading in the right direction, 52% wrong. Ohio: working class white voters going for Romney, government workers for Romney 51%-48%

5:59p As we approach the first poll closings, thought I’d share my predictions for the electoral map ( so you can all laugh when I’m wrong): http://www.conservativedailynews.com/2012/11/even-losing-ohio-romney-wins-election-prediction-map/

5:52p Obama campaign staff in panic mode. Throwing out campaign videos and begging people to vote:

5:48p Romney Press Secretary Andrea Saul tweets that exit polls showing that voters care about what Romney is strong on – the economy:

5:44p RNC Communication Director Sean Spicer tweets about encouraging voter turnout in Colorado – a state CDN predicted Romney would win

5:37p KatlainSmith89 tweets this pic of Virginia Beach, VA polling location line (heavy R district): http://instagram.com/p/Rs9EzEMw1i/

5:18p CDNs prediction for Indiana and Kentucky was for Romney to take both. That would give Romney a 19-0 electoral lead in the first two states to have statewide polls close.

5:07p Redstate reporting that GOP poll watchers are being denied access on a technicality: http://www.redstate.com/2012/11/06/gop-poll-observers-being-blocked-in-north-carolina/

5:04 Ari Fleischer tweets that things are looking good for Romney in Ohio

5:00p One hour to polls closing in Indiana and Kentucky. Romney campaign posts image of “War Stadium”: https://twitter.com/Timodc/status/265926597884932097/photo/1

Early indications in Florida, Iowa, Ohio, Colorado look good for Romney-Ryan

Former Whitehouse Press Secretary Ari Fleischer tweeted that early turnout numbers looked promising for the Romney-Ryan ticket.

All morning, reports of much heavier than expected turnout in Florida was overwhelming polling places. Now, Bay County Supervisor of Elections Mark Anderson is adding staff to two precincts to help with the long lines.

In Ohio, similar reports are surfacing. Executive Editor of The Hotline Josh Kraushaar tweeted that things are promising for the challengers among early voters.

And Jack Healy of the New York Times tweeted that Republicans turned out better in early voting than Democrats.

Deputy Communications Dir. at Republican National Committee Tim Miller tweeted that Dem turnout in Colorado looks muted

And CDN’s Richard Mitchell tweeted about turnout in Lyon County, Iowa.

It’s early and the statistics being quoted may or may not be indicative of the result, but they are certainly more promising that news reports in past days had led Republicans to believe.

 

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