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Why the Democrats WON’T Impeach the President

Conventional wisdom is that the Democrats are going to go ahead with articles for impeachment against President Trump and then vote to impeach him. This is in spite of the fact that their impeachment inquiry, even stacked in their favor, hasn’t yet produced bi-partisan agreement that there are actions worthy of impeachment. Nevertheless, according to the consensus opinion, the Democrats will then vote to impeach the President sending it to trial in the Senate. This is in spite of the fact that there is no hope that the Senate would vote to convict him. Democrats know they won’t be able to remove President Trump from office, yet they hate him so much they will vote to impeach him anyway.

That’s the conventional wisdom. Sure, the Democrats would love to impeach him, but they won’t. It’s not because they can’t remove him, but because actually impeaching Trump would hurt them politically. First, the Republican-controlled Senate would conduct a trial, which unlike the Democrat inquiry, would allow Trump supporters to question witnesses whose stories won’t help Democrats sway public opinion in their favor. A fair Senate trial would likely do exactly the opposite. Also, if the trail goes on long enough it will cut into the campaign season for several Democrats Presidential candidates. Finally, a public Senate trial will almost certainly damage front runner Joe Biden’s chances of representing the Democrats in their efforts to win the 2020 election.

Worse for the Democrats would be outing the “moderate” Democrats in the House as working in lockstep with the progressive party line. Remember they were elected promising to do the best for the country, and not just blindly following policies not popular with their constituents. While they could explain away voting for an “inquiry” to find out the facts, voting to actually impeach based on some pretty weak evidence of wrongdoing could very well see them voted out in 2020. Red and moderate district representatives gave the Democrats the majority in the House in 2018. The Democrat leaders know that they may very well lose the House if these representatives vote to impeach the President.

So what will happen, and what was probably the Democrat leadership’s plan all along, was to use the impeachment inquiry to smear the President hurting his chances to win in 2020, and to appease their base who have wanted Trump impeached even before he was sworn in. They may have hoped they could turn up something that could actually lead to a conviction in the Senate, but they knew that was a long, long shot. Using the inquiry as a free forum to tell everyone how awful the President is placates their progressive base. Letting the red and moderate district Democrats vote not to impeach will give them credibility in their districts as fair-minded Representatives deserving reelection. If that sounds Machiavellian to you, you haven’t been paying attention to what the Democrats have done.

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One last caveat to this scenario is that the vote for the impeachment inquiry was 232-196.  That would give 15 red or moderate district Democrat Representatives wiggle room to vote against impeachment if they thought it would help their reelection. If the Democrat leadership calculates that impeachment would actually help them win in 2020, they could very well pull the trigger, impeach, and let the cards fall where they may. I can’t see them doing that given the arguments listed above, but I’d be happy to be wrong.

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About Nicholas Wishek

5 comments

  1. I saw this same outcome following the open hearings. Yet even brining this up to news organizations not a peak of this from any of them. Great to read a report that shows what alot of Americans see.

  2. Force Recon Marine

    @ Dawn C Lynge-Pruden

    Something for everyone to consider,This talk about impeachment of the our President is stupid inane and ludicrous. Not to mention infinitely more absurd than the following mendacities AKA corruption during the Øb☭m☭ bin lyin Administration.

    1) The Iran Nuclear Deal courtesy of Øb☭m☭ and his equally idiotic Secretary of State , John Kerry. WHEN THE IRANIANS REFUSED INSPECTION OF TWO MILITARY INSTALLATIONS THAT OUGHT TO HAVE BEEN A RED FLAG STARING YOU AND THE IAEA INSPECTORS IN THE FACE AND SHOULD NEVER HAVE PROCEEDED TO PLAY STUPID FOOLS TO THE IRANIANS

    2) What was that emergency airlift in the dead of night of that $400 million CASH, no doubt of taxpayer money in an unmarked aircraft bound for Teheran to the waiting arms of radical hateful Mullahs
    and smiling faces of the IRG’s ( Iranian Revolutionary Guards). Didn’t you stupid LIEberals comprehend anticipate they were speaking Farsi, “Dumb Stupid Americans”?

    3) Just as infuriating is the reported return of $1.6 (or is it $1.8 or worse $ 160 billion?) in frozen Iranian assets since 1979? Or was it a ransom payment for at least four American citizens held hostage in Iranian prisons? And Mr. John Kerry, you Sir (I cringe when I think of addressing you as sir or honorable for you are not even close to being honorable), like to fancy yourself as being an expert negotiator. Yet there was nary a word about a fifth American patriot, Barry Levinson a former intelligence officer held in Iran even far longer than any of the four who got released? There is no need to ask how you would you feel if you were him or a family member, as you like all LIEberals, only think and feel about yourselves. There is no closure nor will there be any. One might ask how the hell you are able to sleep at night. Then again, like ALL LIEberals you have no conscience

    4) Let’s reflect upon that extremely stupid swap of five terrorists masterminds held at Guantanamo for one Traitorous Army deserter? And let’s not forget to consider the loss of life of those tasked to search for that POS TRAITOR!!! INTELLIGENCE informed you what would occur should those TERRORISTS be released, and true to form, just as reported, a number of them returned to the battlefield to kill Americans. You in the Øb☭m☭ bin lyin administration are so arrogant you never listened or learned your lesson. did you? – SHOCKING – SHOCKING indeed!

    5) It has been well documented that the so-called, Uranium One Deal transacted during the Øb☭m☭ bin lyin administration ceded ownership and control of 20-25 percent of US- manufactured Uranium stockpile to
    Kremlin oligarchs. How do you know cronies of Putin have not sold the Uranium or part of it to Iranians which fights a proxy war and either use it to bomb Israel or any other allies or worse even the USA?
    I understand the deal required 9 signatories including the FBI when Mueller was DIRECTOR and the State Dept when HRC was Secretary. — If that was not high TREASON, I do not know what is. OBVIOUSLY you don’t either!!!

    6) Why was there no emergency assistance rendered to the American Consulate staff in Benghazi on September 11, 2012 when radical terrorists of Al Qaeda persuasion stormed plundered and torched the compound despite a reported 600 or so frantic desperate calls or email messages from Ambassador Christopher Stevens begging for preventative measures to be taken? Other than blaming this “event” on an internet video, what do you say to the families of Sean Smith, Tyrone Woods, Glenn Doherty and the late Ambassador Christopher Stevens?

    Again if this was not malfeasance which is more like HIGH TREASON, nothing is!!!

    7) Who should have been accountable for the murder of border agent, Officer Brian Terry during that stupidly idiotic “Fast and Furious'” sting operation set-up by the Eric Holder-led DOJ?

    8) Madam Speaker, have you seen a copy of the bona fide birth certificate of Øb☭m☭ bin lyin lately? And you arrogant Democrats have even the gall and inane effrontery of talking about impeaching President Trump at a time of economic prosperity for the American people? – Unless of course unbeknownst to me, you are indeed truly more fatuous than I thought.

    Impeachment? Madam Speaker, you are one administration too late!!!

    No one has been able to explain to me, in common and rational language, what it is that our President is doing that is so bad for America that motivates them to hate him and his supporters. Has he proposed taking away any of our Constitutional rights? Have any of our rights disappeared? Has he proposed higher taxes? Has he caused the economy to fail? Has he started any new wars? Have minorities suffered more under his leadership than previous Administrations? Did he run guns into Mexico? Did he direct the IRS to target Leftists non-profit groups? Did he spy on journalists? No, I think his biggest sin was humiliating the Left and those in the entitlement culture in the last Presidential election.

    Which Øb☭m☭ accomplishments do you consider to be his best? Allowed men in the women’s room * Gave our enemy Iran billions of dollars * Failed to secure our southern border * Obstructed the construction of the Keystone Pipeline *Weaponizing the IRS using Lois Lerner to hinder conservative non-profit groups * Used the NSA and Clapper to spy on average American citizens and the Associated Press then LIE about it * Swapping five Taliban Commanders for Bowe Bergdhal a spineless Army deserter * Ran up the National Dept past $20 trillion * Using the U.S. government in the vast expansion of Racial Division * Disrespecting Law Enforcement to the point of being killed in ambushes * Failed economic stimulus plan * Caused the price of healthcare to rise drastically * Constant disregard the Rule of Law – our Constitution * Failed to stop housing foreclosures (the Clinton Legacy) * Failed to stop the erosion of the education system * Not only failed to curb but increased the cost of higher education * Highest percentage of people on food stamps both legal and illegal * Lowest GDP on record for eight years * Highest unemployment on record * Denied the idea of American Exceptionalism * Benghazi * Using his pen and phone to circumvent the U.S. Constitution. Went on an “Apology Tour” * All the LIES about the “Affordable Healthcare Act” Øb☭m☭care * Weaponizing the CIA and FBI then Submitting phony documentation to obtain a FISA warrant to spy on the Trump campaign * Then top this all off boasting that there wasn’t a “smidgen” of corruption!!! Now that takes GALL!!!

    Lying, Obfuscation, and Deflection are tools LIEberals use to promote their agenda and confuse suckers who believe these fabrications No lie is too egregious or action so outrageous to promote their agenda.

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  3. Force Recon Marine

    Schitt’s Dog and Pony Show

    The Pelosi, Schumer, Nadler, Schiff pretext of no laws covering impeachment is treasonous, against all Civil Rights! The foremost issue is the fact that every individual congressperson is 2nd oath allegiance bound “…to defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic… bear true faith and allegiance… without any mental reservation or purpose of evasion… will well and faithfully discharge the duties of the office…” That allegiance is a condition of holding any office, and Ratified Amendment 14 Section 1 …No State shall make or enforce any law which shall abridge the privileges or immunities of citizens nor… deprive any person of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law; nor deny… equal protection of the laws.”; and they’re automatically upon engagement per Section 3 “No person shall… hold any office… having previously taken an oath… …(who) shall have engaged in insurrection or rebellion against the (Constitution), or given aid or comfort to (its) enemies…”! It amends anything to the contrary such as Article 1 and 2 Section 4 (impeachment, especially when impeachment is used to overthrow government and the Constitution (Article 3-3)!

    Schiff’s claims of no law regarding Impeachment are treasonous and to the contrary of Article 1 Section 3 “…but the Party convicted shall nevertheless be liable and subject to Indictment, Trial, Judgment and Punishment, according to Law.” (due process of law!) ; and Section 6 “… They shall in all Cases, except Treason, Felony and Breach of the Peace, be privileged from Arrest….“, wherein Schiff/Pelosi used their congressional offices to modify a statute, and used it to claim immunity for Biden… publicly recorded admission that he withheld US funds to Ukraine until that president immediately fired a Ukrainian DOJ who was investigating corruption… to stop investigations in a corrupted company (Bribery) associated with the Biden family… in absolute contempt of Article 1-6 Supreme Law of the Land, ANYTHING TO THE CONTRARY NOT-WITH-STANDING (Article 6). They doubled down on that treason with impeachment charges based on the treasonous statute to overthrow the president for investigating the crime Biden admitted to! Those treasonous acts clearly violate Supremacy of presidential duties Article 2 Section 1 president “…will faithfully execute the Office of President of the United States, and will to the best of my Ability, preserve, protect and defend the Constitution of the United States.”; and Section 3 “…he shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed…”

    House impeachment powers are same as secretive investigatory and grand jury functions, not Senate public judiciary functions. This time The house used their DNC media/press to broadcast and publish every accusation and deposition in total contempt of all due process laws, especially Amendment 5 “No person shall be held to answer for a capital, or otherwise infamous crime, unless on a presentment or indictment of a Grand Jury… nor be deprived of life, liberty, or property, without due process of law… nor shall any person be subject for the same offense to be twice put in jeopardy of life or limb.”; and Amendment 6 “…all criminal … accused shall enjoy the right to a speedy and public trial, by an impartial jury of the State and district wherein the crime shall have been committed…confronted with the witnesses against him…Counsel for his defense.”

    For 3 years, the DNC progressive democrat House majority, Senate Minority, and every other DNC operative within government has been holding the president to every crime imaginable on nation/word-wide media/press with government facilities and honor of office personally parading accusations of treason, bribery, lying, and scandal after scandal, without ever being able to identify a crime… in total defiance any privileges and immunities guaranteed in Amendment 14-1.

    The House impeachment process over the last few days shows the pitiful state of overthrow and progressive communist tyranny the USA is drowning in. Each day begins with treasonous Schiff rants of unending pseudo crimes by Trump, and ends the day filled more accusations by house members and people they subpoenaed, with zero true crimes, followed by another Schiff rant of more crimes against Trump. That damnation finally ends with the same no crimes committed, plus a divided nation that is ready for a war that will destroy the USA. It’s not stopped because Allegiance, the Constitution, and God mean nothing! Trump has the Army & special forces to prevent a blood bath. Egypt did it.

  4. They will impeach the President because they are so arrogant, so steeped into their own lies, they truly believe this President is evil.
    They also do not care about the American people, it has been all them all the time. They did not care about taxes or climate change or trade deals, or insurance (Nor did the GOP). It is ALL about them and power and money and graft.
    They also think that they have enough of the GOP (Think Romney, Amash, Lee et.al) that will vote “YEA” for the impeachment.
    Remember Paul Ryan? Plus truthfully I do not trust Mitch or Lyndsay either. Between the Media smears and the hate and the protests, I think they think they have it in the bag! I think the GOP wants it as well.

  5. The Democrats will impeach Trump because they can. Politics is about favors and grudges. Democrats have never forgiven Republicans for impeaching Bill “BJ” Clinton. They’ve been after a Republican POTUS scalp ever since. It doesn’t hurt that they hate Trump with the fury of a thousand suns, but impeachment was going to happen regardless. It could have been President Cruz or President Romney. Didn’t matter.

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