Eric Cantor Picked the Wrong Base
It’s no mystery why Eric Cantor lost his primary last Tuesday. He simply failed to turn out his new Hispanic base. And Cantor is not completely to blame for this failure, because events outside his control were also working against him.
On the day of the vote many members of his new voting block, Futuro Ciudadnos for Cantor couldn’t votar because they were waiting outside the local bus stations and airports to be reunited with younger members of their extended family. It’s really a shame Cantor lost because footage of these tearful reunions would have made great feel–good television spots in November, as long as the crew made sure no weeping taxpayers could be seen in the back of the frame.
[CULTURAL SENSITIVITY NOTE REGARDING OUR NEW NEIGHBORS: When Gringos send their unaccompanied minors to visit the ex, they complicate the process with needless rules and bureaucracy. On United Airlines — my carrier of choice — parents pay a fee of $150 each way for an unaccompanied minor, on top of what the airfare cost. The parent or guardian is required to arrive early at the airport, with photo identification and contact information and the same info regarding the person meeting little Belgium at his destination.
The child gets an I.D. badge and experiences the tender mercies of the TSA, which may include being felt up. When boarding the plane, flight attendants greet him personally, escort him to his seat and buckle him in. At the destination a United employee meets your child and escorts him to the arrivals area where the identification of the ex is checked closely to make sure there is an exact match with the data supplied before the child boarded.
Once the paperwork is complete, Belgium is handed over.
Futuro cuidadnos in need of an anchor adolescent have a much simpler system. First of all it’s a one-way trip. Jesusito — who can be a son, cousin, uncle, nephew, foster child, drinking buddy or fellow gang member — is tossed on the nearest autobus heading for El Norte. His documentation, if any, consists of tattoos and a handwritten note listing the town where his ‘relatives’ are living in the shadows doing the work US business won’t pay citizens enough to do.
Once he arrives at the border he wades, rides, walks, sneaks, jumps or runs across. If he’s not lucky enough to be captured immediately by the Border Patrol, Jesusito must track one down and inform the CBP officer of his rights and what services the officer needs to provide to avoid a UN investigation.
On the United flight the unaccompanied minor gets a bag of pretzels.
At INS Daycare Jesusito gets food, a bed, his diaper changed (only if necessary), a shower, entertainment, visits from befuddled Members of Congress and transportation that will reunite him with the family whose deportation he will prevent in the future. And it’s all free! Well, free for Jesusito since the taxpayers are footing the bill.]
So it’s no wonder Cantor lost with that kind of distraction affecting his base. Of course there is no guarantee Eric would have won even without the interference of the infant invasion. His new amigos aren’t known for displays of gratitude, in fact amnesty advocates invaded Cantor’s ‘Victory Celebration’ after he lost demanding legislation he was in no position to pass after the polls closed.
Now that he’s no longer a political factor the rumors of how hard it was to work with Cantor’s arrogant staff start to surface. This is plausible. Cantor was House Majority Leader, so he gets funding for two sets of staff members: The Congressional staff and the majority leader’s staff. I used to work for a majority leader and in DC this officer holder is not a mere congressman or representative. People address him as ‘leader’ and do so with a straight face. It’s like ruling in your own private North Korea without the really bad hair and mass starvation.
You can imagine what a shock it must have been to go back to the district were voters not only didn’t call him ‘leader,’ they asked impertinent questions and wanted college recommendations for their kids.
The same goes for the staff. In DC everyone treads lightly around these pencil necks because they have Cantor’s ear and can make your political life miserable. But they, too get no respect when some rube from Virginia calls wondering where her Social Security check is and why her son can’t get full disability after that unfortunate explosion in the meth lab.
The only portion of Cantor’s new base that came through for him was the big business money that allowed him to outspend opponent Dave Brat by 25–to–1.
Which reminds me: How many of you took my excellent advice shared here and contributed to Brat’s campaign BEFORE he won? I feel like one of those guys that bought Apple stock before Steve started using deodorant and came back to save the company.
Cantor is another one of those too–clever–by–half politicians that outgrew their voters and made the fatal mistake of letting the voters know it. His focus–group tested language and his amnesty triangulation — conservative enough to confuse the district, but not so much that the US Chamber of Commerce, agriculture lobbyists and HB–1 visa proponents would shut off the money spigot — had one fatal flaw. Clinton, the inventor of triangulation, did his in the general election, not the primary.
Brat’s campaign and his fund raising just got him over the threshold of credibility and angry voters did the rest. But Brat should take care that Cantor’s defeat doesn’t go to his head. When an incumbent loses the vast majority of voters don’t vote for the winner, they vote against the incumbent. Brat just happened to reap the whirlwind.
He must still continue to make the case for his ideas and build strong ties with the district before November.
In the meantime conservatives can enjoy watching the amnesty lobby explain how illegal immigration had absolutely nothing to do with Cantor’s loss. In fact, if Cantor had only come out stronger for amnesty and Chipotle has closed early on the day of the primary, he would still be the Congressman.
It’s like trying to explain that Noah’s flood didn’t wipe out the earth’s population. The root cause was lack of oxygen and no Corps of Engineers.
Michael, Believe you’re pretty well squared away with this and it’s more than feasible. Still, for the sake of discussion, I want to toss in a couple of other possible scenarios…..First, people are sick of ‘incumbents’, in particular “The Speaker”, voters in Virginia can’t get directly to him & this is next best thing…although some just didn’t like Cantor..period….While he appeared to be ‘disengaged’ & out of touch, I wonder if not some of the “blame’ for that goes on the shoulders of the voters???? Did they (regularly) knock on his door with their concerns and expectations or just figure the communication was entirely ‘his job’. When they took pride in his election as Majority Leader, didn’t they realize it would require more of his time & energy? Lastly, I ask, “Did Virginians fall into the pattern of many states and think his job was limited to providing federal ‘bounty’ to them…or consider that he was also responsible to act for the other 49 States betterment as well.?”
Me? Well I’ve never been a huge fan and have found him lacking in any true effective efforts.
While the Tea Parties have brought forth some excellent candidates, let’s not forget the ‘witch’ or the ‘space girl’…Let’s do a wee bit of checking on our own….
Thanks, again, Michael, for stirring my cobwebs so the brain matter isn’t chocked.
I think it was more than just generalized distaste for incumbents. Turnout was almost twice what it was in 2012.
The increased turnout rported is what prompted that remark. The voter’s got involved!!! They cared enough to help push the load and not watch while others did it for them. (for both candidates)…to me.. Low voter turnout indicates a lack of interest, lack of information or just laziness. I truly believe that elections are won or lost by turnout. I recently took this point & others in my comment when I addressed a Professional Women’s Group. I closed with “If you believe that God helps those that help themselves….get out the vote.”
I’m no fan of Cantor, but to vote against him because of his stance on amnesty is an admission of insanity. Cantor suggested a program that states if you are born in this country, maintain a 4.0 GPA, and serve in the military, you will be eligible for citizenship. I fail to see why anyone should be upset by that.
That’s incorrect. The Supreme Court (wrongly) has already decided that anyone born in the US is automatically a citizen of the US.
Cantor supported giving citizenship to children brought here by illegals, which flies in the face of legal practice (fruit of poisoned tree) that says relatives can’t benefit from the wrongdoing of the parents.
Otherwise the children of the drug dealer would be able to keep the house and the Ferrari.
BTW, who do you think is paying for the schools where they maintain the GPA? And do you think your kids could go to school for free in Mexico City?