Prediction: Romney Wins 321-217 Electoral Vote~Main Stream Media Skewed Polls
The Main Stream Media is out in force touting “polls” that have errors in 3 basic elements.
- Most of these polls, are including all the minority and “younger” vote that launched Obama as the 44th President of the United States. Pew polls and Gallup state that this part of the electorate is not as engaged, and in fact they will not impact the 2012 race as they did in 2008.
- Motivation-Pew polls have indicated that Republican voters have the edge at +3. The polls the MSM are basing their stats on all have the “old” 2008 model (Dem +4), for motivation among likely voters. This isn’t 2008, no matter how much they want it to be–thus their polls are off. Example, Obama just had a Bruce Springsteen event and only drew 18,000. In 2008 the same event with the “Boss”, 40,000 attended. Romney sans Rock Star drew 40,000 in Virginia today. The “motivation” is all Republican, period.
- The “Undecided”vote. This always “tips” against the incumbent. Yet, the MSM is using again the 2008 model tipping it +2 to +3 for Obama. This needs to be changed to +2-3 for Romney.
The Main Stream is predicting a “tight” race, and most are calling it for Obama. Are they doing this to “help” Obama, hoping to keep “spirits” up within the Democratic Electorate? Hoping to “will” their Messiah to victory? We can only speculate, but what is clear, from Benghazi, they will stop at nothing to cover for Obama. Just today, stories are circulating about CBS with holding parts of the Obama interview which aired the Sunday that Susan Rice took to the airwaves, with the bogus “video” excuse. CBS seems to have done some “selected” editing to help out the narrative on Benghazi. So, is there any doubt, that the Main Stream would either intentionally or unintentionally skew the polls? It makes all the difference as I have demonstrated above, how the polls are analyzed, using the 2008 models– just skew it a tad in favor of Obama. Here is how I predict the Electoral College to go Tuesday. This is my prediction, and yes, I am standing by it!
What, no update? The author must feel pretty embarrassed to have gotten it so wrong!