The 2020 US presidential election is big news across the globe.
Presidential elections in most countries are not a worldwide event, but that is not the case with the US. More than half of the MSCI is accounted for by the United States. And the US dollar being the world’s major currency, accounts for almost nine out of ten global transactions.
In 2016, Trump’s victory was followed by the fall of government bonds and a rise in the value of the USD. At the beginning of 2020, the economy was doing well and the value of the US dollar was stable, with employment rates recorded at its best in the United States. However, with the pandemic, all that has changed, as many people grow tired of the lockdowns. In this article, we will take into account the impact of the 2020 elections for global investors, the most appropriate investment moves, the possible implications on the markets, and currency implications before and after the elections.
In the financial markets, what most investors fear is vulnerability and constant fluctuations.
And vulnerability in this case is not necessarily displayed through the constant changing of exchange rates, it could also be the insurmountable amount of demand that a quick shift in the rates could cause for many local companies. When people realize that their orders of trying to save their assets are not being fulfilled fast enough, they will start looking for better alternatives. And due to the strict regulation of the American financial markets only a select few foreign companies can provide that service, ultimately leading people to invest with shady companies.
Based on this particular Axiory broker review, a legitimate brokerage outside of the United States does not even consider accepting a client from any of the states. This would immediately spell trouble for both the company as well as the investor. Therefore, it should be clear that a foreign company cannot accept a US client unless they are an absolute exception in the eyes of the SEC or the CTFC.
It may have been off topic but it’s important that people are aware of their options if a decline is being anticipated.
The USD still dominates
The general quality of the United States dollar completely inspires the forex markets and values, futures, and eventually, that quality depends on the financial strength of the entire country. The US presidential race has an extraordinary bearing on the course of the local economy, and the possible impact on the USD itself can be considerable. In recent days, analysts predict the fall of the USD in the days leading to the November 2020 presidential election. Reports show that the USD is always very volatile around political events, especially the presidential elections, despite the fact that US investors often consider the currency as a safe-haven. during Asian trading hours, the USD declined a massive 96.250 on Friday, on the index list.
The global financial markets are often hit hard by the political activities of major countries. Business sectors can go from calm to possibly catastrophic in a matter of minutes. There is a theory in the US with regards to the four-year cycle of the presidential elections. According to this theory, there is a build-up relationship between the stock trends and the events of the presidential elections. Thus during this time, stock market trends can be predicted. The presidential cycle hypothesis exists as a single aspect of a bigger picture with respect to the future quality of values and the future value of the United States dollar.
China is connected to the US on a strong business basis. The economic feud that has been going on between China and the USA has played a major role in the devaluation of the Chinese yuan. Investors anticipated that the trade war between the world’s most powerful nation would have ended long before now, however, it has persisted, thus causing a steep 7.40 fall in the value of the yuan. Not only the USA was disgruntled with China for not alerting the world about the outbreak of the novel coronavirus in a timely manner. Many countries believe that China intentionally held back information concerning the outbreak of the pandemic, leading to its global spread, which finally led to the shutting down of the whole world to contain the spread. Despite economic tension being part of the reason why the Chinese yuan is currently falling compared to the USD, the US presidential election is another event that will greatly affect the currency, just as it will other currencies, and other economic platforms.
As the financial feud between China and the US enters a period of serious conflict, the real problem has moved to the global markets. China has had its currency pegged to the USD for a very long time now. Attempts to unpeg their currency from the USD has failed and the Chinese currency is left with a serious downtrend. It has consequently moved currency exchange toward Europe. All through the exchange war, China has so far had the option to compensate for declining fares to the United States by moving exchange toward Europe. This has helped the People’s Bank of China keep up steady official currency reserve notwithstanding a quick surge of US dollars.
China’s currency is benchmarked, which is one of its issues, together with its global responsibilities, and even the loaning of its Belt and Road Initiative banks in dollars. Despite endeavours, to sever such links with the USD, it has not been successful. Presently, the exchange war is making it increasingly deprive China of the dollars it needs, and the nation is progressively funding exports to Europe to cover up the deficit.
Previous US midterm elections can be of help while looking at exactly how the various USD valuations can act when confronting distinctive political race circumstances. Forex brokers and financial specialists can basically act uncertain ways, confronted with the vulnerability of the results of a political event such as a presidential election. Finally, financial complexities facing the dollar’s valuation will be the main pushing factor behind a supported up or delayed downtrend.