Let’s all calm down. I know a few conservative may have started to sweat after seeing Drudge’s headline showing “boom” for Obama in the early exit polls. However, Ace of Spades reminds us that in 2004, John Kerry led in the exit polls by nine.
Remember, the 2004 exits had Kerry winning nationally 51-48. Actual result? Pretty much the opposite of that. Bush won by just under three points.
Thus, a nearly +6 bias in favor of Democrats.
You can also ignore the sub-toplines in the exits, for the exact same reason. They’re saying on CNN this is the first election in which Hispanics make up 10% of the voting population. Again — self-selected.D+6. More whites than anyone else avoiding the sociology major.
The exits are, through-and-through, faulty and a big waste of your time.
I say again: Random-digit-dial polls are more accurate.
Kerry, at the end of the night, lost the state – and the election.