Tag Archives: Census

Fewer Immigrants and Newborns, More Elderly Slow U.S. Population Growth

WASHINGTON, May 21, 2012 /PRNewswire-USNewswire/ — Lower immigration levels, population aging, and declining fertility rates are driving a decline in U.S. population growth, according to a new Population Reference Bureau (PRB) analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data.

Between 2010 and 2011, the U.S. population increased by 0.7 percent, after averaging 0.9 percent growth each year from 2000 through 2010, reported Mark Mather, PRB associate vice president for Domestic Programs.  We added just 2.3 million people from 2010 to 2011, compared with 2.9 million from 2005 to 2006, just five years earlier.

The current decline is a “significant departure” from recent trends but “it’s too soon to tell whether it will continue or is a short-term result of the recession,” he said.

The U.S. population is currently projected to reach “majority-minority” status (the point at which less than 50 percent of the population is non-Hispanic white) in 2042. But a sustained drop in immigration levels and fertility rates would slow the pace of minority population growth.

Drop in Immigration: Between 2010 and 2011, net migration was estimated at around 700,000, down from 1.4 million per year in 2000 and 2001. This decline contributes to slower growth in the Latino and Asian American populations, and has been linked to job losses in occupations often filled by recent immigrants, as well as stricter immigration law enforcement.

Population Aging:  Between 2010 and 2011, the number of children declined by 190,000, while the number of elderly increased by 917,000; just a decade ago we added more children than elderly. Also down sharply is growth in the number of working-age adults, including those in prime childbearing ages. With more baby boomers retiring and fewer people of reproductive age, births could decline further, and the United States could start to resemble elderly-heavy, slow-growth European countries, Mather noted.

Declining Fertility Rates: There were an estimated 4 million births between 2010 and 2011, down from 4.2 million at the recent peak of U.S. population growth between 2005 and 2006. The total fertility rate (TFR) stood at an average of 2.0 lifetime births per woman in 2009—down from 2.1 a few years ago—but preliminary data from the National Center for Health Statistics suggest that the TFR could drop below 2 births per woman in 2010. Births among Latina women, a group with historically high fertility rates, could drop below 2.5 per woman in the near future.

White: The New Minority

According to a new census bureau report, whites of European ancestry account for less than half of newborn children in the united states. For the first time in America’s history, Caucasians are no longer the largest newborn generation.

Demographics have been changing in the United States for decades. Anyone over the age of fifty would have grown up in a country largely dominated by white and black citizenry. Those of generation X, generation Y, the millennials and younger grew up a nation with a much more hispanic population.

Hispanics are the fastest growing and second largest demographic in the United States behind non-Hispanic whites. The reason – white families are having few babies while Hispanic families are having more. On average, white mothers gave birth to 1.8 babies per mom while Hispanic women gave birth to 2.4.

While many point to a younger Hispanic average age as a root cause of a higher birth rate, it may actually be simpler than that – their belief system. Hispanics are overwhelmingly pro-life Catholics – abortion is not as socially acceptable as it is in other groups. Catholic families are also much less likely to use birth control.

As this new generation grows, it will ultimately spell the end of notion of America as a largely Caucasian population. Non-Hispanic whites will simply be one of several minorities that make up the nation’s citizenry – which could cause problems for affirmative action programs, minority business designations and other social justice programs based on the concept of “minority”. How will those determinations be made once all races are in the minority?

Whites of European decent still make up a large portion of American society – roughly 70%. What this new report shows is that in just a few generations, that will change drastically.

Census Workers Point Out Deficiencies in Current Operation

The Census director, Dr. Robert Groves, posted a kickoff letter for the Census workers as they head out to count those that did not return their census forms.  The letter is the stuff a cheer leading boss of 50,000+ new hires might give and didn’t immediately strike me as newsworthy, then I started reading the comments from the census workers (called “enumerators”).  Two comments really struck me as relevant to current events and reflected the attitude of the current administration.

First, “scott” points out that they are having trouble finding people to do this job because even with ~10% unemployment, people might not need the work:

They are still having problems with finding people who will do the enumerator job, and training is still going on. I am still in training, and usually it is during the day, and anyone with a full-time job is not going to take a week off to train for part-time. Also, people on unemployment (I am one)sometimes feel they make more money on unemployment (I would) than working for the census..

Shock..  With unemployment benefits being extended into eternity, those less-motivated would rather the handout than real work.  What about the entry on your resume?  The possibility to network and find job opportunities – perhaps even in … meh .. the government.   There have been numerous studies that show the longer and higher quality that unemployment benefits are, the longer that people go unemployed – here’s some reality-based statistical proof to those studies.

Further down, I found that turnover may be higher-than-expected as “arlene” points out a strange re-hiring practice:

Having trouble finding people….my daughter was hired and did the part where they went out in the middle of the night looking for homeless people, going to soup kitchens and shelters, etc… Although her supervisor highly recommended her to continue with the door to door part, NONE of the enumerators were kept on. They hired all new people..

Already trained, with some experience, enumerators were left hanging for .. new hires?  Why the turnover?  Does it improve how many enumerators they hired?  Does it reflect positively in the May/June employment figures?  Only time will tell and just trying to answer those questions off of a single blog post is something I’ll leave for the folks at NBC.

Democrats Concerned About 2010 Vote, Bribe Voters and Illegals

Demcrat donkey
In a Hot Air post by Ed Morrissey, we learned that Democrat strategists are concerned that without the record turnout from black voters that they enjoyed in 2008, they may be in for trouble.  ACORN is just trying to survive and is in no condition to rig this one for them, so what is a Democrat to do?  If you can’t buy votes through corrupt community organizations, buy them directly.

On Wednesday, President Obama said that he was, “announcing my support for an additional $250 in emergency recovery assistance to seniors, veterans, and people with disabilities to help them make it through these difficult times.”   There are some interesting motivations for this.  Of course, Obama points at the economy, but wait, Obama and Biden have said the stimulus worked.  Are seniors in more hardship now than they were 4 months ago?

This has more to do with health care and the Democrat fears of a stunning loss in the 2010 elections.

Without an African American presidential hopeful running for office, will the heavily Democrat-leaning black voter population show up?  Probably not.  SEIU and ACORN have some publicity issues to deal with after the highly-negative exposure they gained from beating a black man near a town hall because he was selling American Flags and of course, supporting child prostitution by clearing the way for illegal tax breaks and government mortgage help.

If they can’t count on the African-American community, where will the “help” come from for the Dems in 2010?

Senior citizens are the first voting block to which the Democrats are turning.  One of the largest and strongest segments of anti-health care reform sentiment is Senior Citizens.  AARP has seen historic losses in membership after they association voiced support for the President’s plan against senior’s wishes.  Democrats cannot afford to have those anti-left feelings carry over into next year’s elections.

Senate Leader Expressing Himself

Senate Leader Expressing Himself

Second, Harry Reid has blocked a measure in the Senate to restrict Census to those in the U.S. legally.  By expanding the census to illegal aliens, a left-leaning group, it could have wide-ranging effects.  The Census decides things like how congressional districts are drawn and how many representatives a state gets.  By favoring illegals, this could give blue states more representatives than they should get.

Can $250 really by a vote.  Sure, when it’s meant to cover up the bad news that Social Security recipients won’t be getting a cost-of-living adjustment this year.  Granted, they did get an almost 6% raise last year, but it’s always about what have you done for me lately.  If the senior segment of our population gets bought off for a measly 250 bucks and the illegal count in the census is used for congressional weighting and districting, the Democrats may have found a corrupt, but effective solution to being unpopular – buy the win.