Tag Archives: 2012 primaries

Hey.. the primaries are still going on – Charlie Rangel edition

June primary Charlie RangelColorado, New York, Oklahoma, South Carolina, South Dakota and Utah voters head to the polls today to cast their votes in the 2012 primary and run-off elections.

Many of the races will be little more than going through the motions. Orin Hatch (R-UT) will likely fend off a primary challenge by a wide margin – others are not so clear-cut.

Investigated for ethics violations and censured by his colleagues, Rep. Charlie Rangel(D-NY)  is looking at the possibility of losing his seat after 42 years in Congress. Rep. Rangel is facing a tough challenge from state Sen. Adriano Espaillat. Rangel will be tested in this primary due to a combination of his unethical behavior and a redrawn congressional district that now contains more Hispanics that will likely vote for Espaillat. Other primary challengers to Rangel include Clinton White House aide Clyde Williams, Harlem community organizer Craig Schley; and Joyce Johnson.

In Colorado, Conservative Republican Doug Lamborn (CO-5) is facing a challenge by wealthy businessman Robert Blaha. Unlike other Republican primary challenges where the incumbent was deemed too moderate, Lamborn’s far-right voting record would seem to suggest that the district that contains Colorado Springs may actually want a less Conservative representative in Congress.

Lamborn concedes he has a fight on his hands. His unflinching conservatism comes with a price. In three terms in Congress, Lamborn has seen none of his bills become law. But he says his record shows that he doesn’t sacrifice his principles to get bills through the process. – Real Clear Politics

 

Rick Santorum: The Least Patriotic Republican

Super Tuesday results are in. Mitt Romney has won six of the ten states, and is the clear frontrunner now more than ever. The question Republican voters must ask is this: Why are we still slogging through this primary season?

The answer to that question is simple: Rick Santorum.

As I noted in this post, we have two goals for 2012: 1) winning the White House, and 2) winning the Senate. The time, money, and attention spent on our primary detracts from accomplishing those two goals. I can’t overstate this point: Every moment, every dollar, every ad wasted on our primary is one less to use in defeating Barack Obama.

And the object of this distraction- Rick Santorum- doesn’t share our values. The concept of separation of church and state- specifically, JFK’s speech on the subject, vowing that he wouldn’t take orders from the Pope- makes Santorum “want to throw up”. The greater personal and economic freedom of the “libertarianish right” (read: the Tea Party movement)- which Ronald Reagan referred to as “the very heart and soul of conservatism”- can’t “succeed as a culture” according to Santorum.

And he’s an embarrassment to our party. He is, after all, Michael Moore’s favorite Republican, the target of Moore’s “Operation Hilarity“, designed to keep our primary running longer- with exactly the consequences I described above. Santorum gleefully, and cluelessly, accepted Moore’s “support”, stating that the pro-Union, Democrat-oriented robocalls “proved” he could attract Democrats. Just as I noted with Newt Gingrich in this post, the left salivates at the prospect of Rick “Man-on-dog sex” Santorum being our nominee, as it would guarantee an Obama victory.

Rick Santorum doesn’t realize the amount of damage he’s doing to our cause, and he doesn’t realize that his presence in the primary endangers our chances of winning this election. He is costing us money, time, attention, and the support of independents- whom we need in order to win.

If Santorum had one scrap of concern for our country’s future, he would drop out and clear the field for our party to focus on defeating Barack Obama, winning the Senate, and righting this ship. He won’t do that, however, which makes him the least patriotic man in the Republican party.

Make no mistake: The 2012 election is the hill to die on. Our success or failure in this election will determine whether we fix our broken economy, restrain our government, and put America back to work, or become Greece.

It’s time to get behind our nominee and take the fight to Barack Obama and Harry Reid.

(Photo credit Gage Skidmore via Wikipedia.org)

ON THE AGENDA FOR MARCH 3, 2012

Today’s episode of Red, Right, and Blue will be all about:

  • The fallout from Michigan and Arizona
  • A Preview of Super Tuesday
  • My take on Obama’s apology to Afghanistan President Karzai
  • A Tribute to Andrew Breitbart
  • and more

It all goes down today at 2 PM Eastern, 11 AM Pacific, 9 AM Hawaiian.

So do not forget to tune in and alsocall in if you have anything you want to share. The number is 718-305-7176, and the link to the show is

http://www.blogtalkradio.com/conservativennationradio/2012/03/03/red-right-and-blue

 

 

Romney Re-Takes Lead in Michigan

Mitt Romney how holds a 6 point lead in Michigan despite trailing Rick Santorum in that state for the last few weeks.

Up until Tuesday night’s debate, Rick Santorum had held the lead in Michigan polls. A lackluster debate performance that included booing from the audience seems to have changed the minds of Michigan voters according to a Rasmussen Reports telephone survey.

The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Republican Primary Voters in Michigan shows Romney with 40% of the vote and former U.S. Senator Rick Santorum with 34%. The poll was conducted on Thursday night, following the last scheduled debate among the GOP candidates.

Digging into the survey results deeper shows an interesting conflict. When asked “If the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today, would you vote for Mitt Romney, Rick Santorum, Newt Gingrich or Ron Paul?”, 40% chose Romney while 34% chose Santorum – a reversal from a February 20th poll where Santorum held the edge on that question 38% to 34%. If the question is reduced to asking “Suppose the 2012 Republican Primary for president were held today and you only had a choice between Mitt Romney and Rick Santorum.  For whom would you vote?” Santorum takes the lead 46% to 44% so which of the other candidates is having an effect on Michigan election?

Ron Paul was selected 10% of the time and Newt Gingrich 9% of the time so both of the lower-tier candidates appear to be taking more of Santorum’s base than those that might vote for Romney.

” Electability” appears to also be driving poll results. When asked who survey respondents thought could beat Obama in the general election, 74% felt that Romney was very or somewhat likely to beat the president while only 59% said the same about Santorum. 44% of those responding to the survey thought that Newt could beat Obama while only 19% believed that Ron Paul stood a chance against the incumbent.

With the vote in Michigan being held next Tuesday, the trend and sentiment seem to be going Romney’s way.

Rick Santorum Sweeps Trio of States

While Sen. Santorum was expected to win Minnesota and Missouri, Colorado was widely-believed to be a safe state for Mitt Romney because of the large margins he held in 2008. That turned out to be far from the truth as the Santorum campaign orchestrated a Tuesday night tsunamai for which the Romney people were totally unprepared.

While Romney decided to skip these three states for others, Santorum used retail politics as he did in Iowa to exactly the same result. Political pundits had proposed that this style of campaigning would be impossible to keep up past Iowa and Santorum has proven that kissing babies and saying hello can still get it done.

Gingrich’s campaign is said to be suffering from financial difficulties and having fared this poorly will certainly make it even more difficult for him to continue. Of the less-effective candidates in these races, Gingrich finished at or near the bottom of all three races while Rep. Ron Paul floated in the middle.

Ron Paul has cash from a very loyal following that will keep him going despite being the only remaining GOP candidate to fail to win at least one primary or caucus event.

It is widely expected that Romney will change tactics to placate the right while going heavily negative on Santorum to remove a stubborn challenger.

Colorado Results (99% reporting 1:32a)

Candidate Results
Gingrich 13%
Paul 12%
Romney 35%
Santorum 40%

*CDN is calling Colorado for Rick Santorum

Minnesota Results (86% reporting 1:03a)

Candidate Results
Gingrich 10.7%
Paul 27%
Romney 17%
Santorum 44.9%

*CDN is calling Minnesota for Rick Santorum

Missouri Primary Results (100% reporting 1:00a)

Candidate Results
Santorum 55.2%
Romney 25.3%
Paul 12.2%

*CDN predicts that Rick Santorum has won the Missouri (Beauty Contest) Primary – no delegates to be awarded (caucus to be held later)

Live Blog

1:33 – There is nothing more to see here folks.. it’s over.  Go to sleep… really (Ferris rocks!)

1:00  – Colorado GOP chair announces that with 98% of the vote – Rick Santorum wins Colorado – it’s a sweep

12:24 – Romney takes slight lead .. shortly after CDN calls it for Santorum.. figures.

12:18 – Anderson Cooper calls Colorado poll attendance “depressing”

12:15a – CDN calls Colorado for Rick Santorum.

11:22 – Colorado results begin coming in again

11:12 – Colorado results coming very slow. No new info in more than 90 minutes.

11:09 – Paul takes the stage to say “We had a strong second place and it’s going to continue”. Looking forward to results in Maine.

10:47 - Santorum takes stage in Missouri and starts with “We doubled him [Romney] up tonight in Missouri and Minnesota”. Santorum also announced “I am not standing here to be the Conservative alternative to Mitt Romney. I am the Conservative alternative to Barack Obama.”

10:21 – CDN is calling Minnesota for Rick Santorum

10:15 – Lack of entrance and exit poll data (and slow results from Colorado) will delay CDN’s call on the remaining two states

9:56 – CNN pundit says that “Santorum voters will go to Romney” counting him out of the race despite tonight’s results.

9:45 – with almost 4% in, Santorum clearly posing a challenge to Romney’s “electability” claim

9:40 – Romnemomentum could come to a halt tonight as Santorum is poised to take the middle of the country.

9:33 – CDN is calling Missouri for Rick Santorum with more than 26% of the vote, his lead is significant and accelerating (54.2%)

9:32 – MSNBC’s Maddow misstates result totals in Missouri as 1% of returns when more than 25% are in.

9:22 – CNN tries to get a Romney supporter on Camera from a caucus crowd.. no takers.

9:13 – Missouri results flying in while Minnesota’s are trickling in a bit slower.

9:01 – Herman Cain says that big win for Santorum tonight will only give him a slight “bump” not a “surge”

8:47 – Some pundits already starting to explain Santorum’s early success as a result of low voter turn-out

8:45p – Santorum holding his early lead so far. Paul showing better in MN than MO while the reverse is true for Romney

8:15p – Polls close in Missouri.

8:00pm – Minnesota Caucuses begin

Romney takes Nevada by a landslide

With 71% of precincts reporting, the results of the Nevada Republican Caucus are in – Romney by a huge margin.

The numbers show Mitt Romney very close to taking a majority – a sign that the right is solidifying around a single candidate in order to defeat President Obama in the 2012 general election.

Romney currently has 48% of the Nevada vote, Newt has 23%, Paul 18% and Santorum 11%. The distance between the front-runner and all the “anyone but Romney’s” is vast and seems to be increasing with every new state’s preliminary election.

Newt Gingrich held a post-caucus press conference where he vowed not to drop out because his campaign has “over 160,000 donors, 97 percent of whom have given less than $250. We have an obligation to them to stand up for their values, their concerns, and the reasons they’ve gotten involved.”

The race moves on through the west and mid-west in states like Colorado, Minnesota and Ohio. If Santorum and Paul pick up a significant number of delegates in those states, expect to see one or both drop out ahead of “Super Tuesday.”

We aren’t the voters we were hoping for

As a political commentator this year’s race has begun to wear on me too.

Newt hates Mitt, Mitt hates Newt. Ron hates all of them and everyone but a small group of highly energized voters won’t vote for Ron. Somehow Santorum is polling better than Obama.. but how is that news?

Gingrich married too many times, Mitt made too much money. Santorum doesn’t like gay marriage and Paul thinks Iran having nukes is OK.

Everyone’s candidate is better than the next and the case is made that if you choose yours over theirs that you will be the reason that Obama is re-elected – oh, how small we are.

The rest of us that aren’t engaging in the “hate everyone but my candidate” try to weigh silly argument over silly argument, this sound bite over that and this out-of-context reference over another – it’s getting old.

While the political elite spur on the fight, they forget that the electorate is nothing like them – nothing. I don’t pretend to know what they are like, mainly because there is no “they”. I know they aren’t like me.. much.

They don’t watch six news channels per day. They don’t read 20-30 blog posts per day and more-than-likely do not search for news sites like ours.. or news sites at all.

They may not listen to talk radio – in fact, probably don’t.

Most voters get up in the morning, read the daily paper (printed or on a smart device) and head to work. Morning radio is more-than-likely an escape – chuckling pair talking about crap that doesn’t matter and is interrupted occasionally by traffic and weather on the 3’s, 6’s or every 10.. or whatever.

They work 8-10 hours, and head home. The radio is not likely tuned to Hannity, Rush or even AM talk radio – it’s probably a less-cute version of the morning dolts. They will still be interrupted by weather, traffic, the latest fashions out of L.A. or whatever.

Getting home means a break from the tyrants at work. Have dinner, play with the kids, talk with the wife and catch some Sports Center on ESPN (yeah, we wish they were a sponsor).

That’s life. Dealing with rich politicians fighting over semantics is not interesting to them – it’s predictable and silly.

It gets a bit old only hearing what we shouldn’t do – what we mustn’t do. It is impossible to be energized by a slew of pundits telling us that every choice is the wrong one – a phrase that any independent considering the Democrat candidate won’t hear from that side of the fence.

This is the problem with a drawn out primary season – voters get beaten over the head with mostly irrelevant sound bites and write-ups for an extended period of time – none of them positive. Sure, it gives more states some time to weigh in, but does it change the outcome?

Florida Primary Results

Down to four candidates and across the line where a new entrant into the GOP nomination race is mathematically useless, the Florida primaries come to a close tonight.Mitt Romney came on strong last week and re-took the Florida lead in the polls. Exit polling is showing him strong as well .

Ron Paul didn’t bother to campaign in Florida and has elected himself out of the news for that two week cycle.

So now we just wait on results and see how Floridians viewed the candidates.

Primary Results

Precincts Reporting: 95% – updated 10:50p 

Mitt Romney:     46.4%

Newt Gingrich: 31.9%

Rick Santorum:  13.4%

Ron Paul:             7%

 

Live Blog

  • Polls close at 8pm eastern
  • 6:45p CDN calls it for Mitt.. 
  • 8:pm Everyone else calls it for Romney, Gingrich second, Santorum third and Paul last.. surprise.
  • 11p: yeah .. nothing’s changed

Mitt Loses in South Carolina, Media Spinning

Prior to last week, major media outlets, political pundits and analysts had the Republican race called for front-runner Mitt Romney.  The South Carolina primary has changed everything and the media is in a tail spin.

Newt Gingrich won the primary by taking 40.4% of the vote and all but a handful of the counties. Romney’s poor 27.8% showing resulted in him losing to the former House speaker despite having held a double-digit lead in polls the previous week.

The loss is easier to explain than some in the media would like to believe – Newt is connecting to voters in a way the Mitt Romney has, so far, failed to do.

South Carolina Republican strategist Chip Felkel said,”Nobody’s really for Mitt Romney. Romney has never generated that kind of enthusiasm, and I’m not sure he’s capable of generating that kind of enthusiasm.”

The last two debates before the polls opened showed Romney to be unprepared to handle questions on his tax returns and lacking any fire on core issues. Mitt’s exchanges with John King and Juan Williams illustrated a fighting spirit necessary to deal with the well-funded media-darling Barack Obama.

Sunday morning saw the media trying to comprehend what had occurred. While predictions had been for a Gingrich win in South Carolina, no one had expected the landslide victory that Newt’s campaign had pulled off.

In an effort to create a parallel between Gingrich and Romney on elitism and tax returns, ABC news said “Gingrich, who made more than $3 million in 2010, per his tax return, repeatedly berated Washington and New York “elites.”

Fox News Contributor Sally Kohn said that “Newt is the most un-electable candidate in history” and that Gingrich “created most of the problems” in Washington D.C.

The Daily Beast slung an oddly-worded slam at Gingrich saying that “the level of nontraditionalness on display [at Newt’s campaign events is], to borrow a phrase, utterly profound—so profound, frankly, that it makes it hard to imagine Gingrich ever really being able to ramp up and go toe to toe with President Obama’s ultrasophisticated reelection operation.”

Non-traditionalness?? Mr. Romano (the author), are you sure that’s a negative?

CBS News may have totally misunderstood how the GOP’s lack of support plays with Conservatives:

He has also been largely snubbed by the GOP establishment; while prominent Republicans are steadily coming out of the woodwork in favor of Romney, Gingrich has benefited far less from the support of party leadership.

The Republican establishment and Conservative commentators such as Ann Coulter have been firmly behind Mitt Romney, but that’s not the negative for Gingrich that they would have you believe. Prior to the recount in Iowa, many voters felt that their candidate was being picked for them by the media and the party elite – much like what happened to them in 2008 with John McCain. Romney was predicted to run the first three primaries and be largely unopposed in Florida – which would have all but ended the race for the nomination. Instead, the electorate seems to be searching for anyone but that kind of candidate . Anyone but that  middle-of-the-road, dispassionate, out-of-touch establishment-approved candidate. Anyone, but Romney.

Santorum took Iowa, Romney won New Hampshire and Gingrich has taken South Carolina. More important to understanding the future are the trends. Everyone except Gingrich is watching support drain away as the weeks press on – a trend with which the media and party leadership may not be pleased and appear to be working hard to reverse.

Family Research Council Endorses Rick Santorum

Tony Perkins

CDNews had the privilege of being invited to the Family Research Council’s conference call on Saturday, where Tony Perkins, President of the FRC, announced that a group of 150 conservative leaders had chosen Rick Santorum as their Presidential candidate.

Among the highlights of the conference:

Mr. Perkins gave a synopsis of the meeting at Judge Paul Pressler’s ranch outside Houston, Texas. Surrogates of every candidate except Jon Huntsman spoke before the group. Mr. Perkins said the group’s three primary issues were, foremostly, the repeal of Obamacare; the debt ceiling issue; and the pro-life movement. Mr. Perkins said the group focused on determining the candidate who best reflected the conservative mindset and was most likely to succeed in defeating Barack Obama. He said economic issues were extremely important to the group.

Mr. Perkins said the event was not an anti-Romney event, and very little time was spent discussing Romney’s record. He said there was no discussion of Romney’s religion, and that if it was discussed it was a sidenote.

Mr. Perkins said that the group of conservative leaders would manifest their support for Santorum through their PACs and other means. Mr. Perkins said the organization would not call on Rick Perry or any other candidate to drop out of the election. Mr. Perkins couldn’t name the leaders involved in the group’s ballot process, but he said some may soon emerge with endorsements for Santorum and he estimated that other activites supporting Santorum would emerge within about 24 hours.

Mr. Perkins said there was no discussion of eventually supporting Mitt Romney, and that the participants were not resigned to the belief that Romney would be the eventual nominee. He said there was some discussion about Romney’s abortion record, but that very little time was spent on the topic.

Mr. Perkins said Santorum’s record of stability and consistent articulation of economic and social issues appealed to the group, and that the group hoped to overcome Santorum’s fundraising deficit through public support.

Mr. Perkins said there had been some concerns about Rick Perry’s “stumbles” during the race. He said that he expected passionate support whether the nominee were Perry, Gingrich, or Santorum, but that the most passionate support was for defeating Obama.

He said there was not a fear that the group’s support for Santorum was coming “too late”, following Iowa and Hew Hampshire. He believed that the support was coming at a “good time” in the primary process.

Mr. Perkins said FRC would be releasing a wirtten statement soon regarding the event.

 

 

 

Surprise! RomneyCare Costs Exploding / Hidden from the Public

According to this article in The New York Times, “Massachusetts cannot bar legal immigrants from a state health care program, according to a ruling issued Thursday by the state’s highest court, a decision that edges the state closer to its goal of providing near-universal health care coverage to its residents” adding, “The ruling said that a 2009 state budget that dropped about 29,000 legal immigrants who had lived in the United States for less than five years from Commonwealth Care, a subsidized health insurance program central to this state’s 2006 health care overhaul, violated the State Constitution.” How does that saying by Sir Walter Scott go? Oh yes, “Oh what a tangled web we weave, when first we practice to deceive.”

If we look back on the head politico that signed the 2009 state budget that did indeed prohibit legal immigrants from receiving RomneyCare health insurance, we see Governor Deval Patrick spinning like a top in trying to explain how he went against the state constitution and installed this discriminatory provision into the healthcare law through the state budgeting system. Gov. Patrick knew fully well this was being done to save money, yet after being caught, he comes out saying he was “initially opposed” to it. From the NYT piece,Gov. Deval Patrick initially opposed barring the immigrants’ from the program and worked with legislators to create an alternative — and more limited — program that cost about $40 million.  If the governor was truly opposed to barring legal immigrants from receiving the health insurance provided by RomneyCare, then he would have vetoed it. This is the direct result of career politicians promising things to get elected, then when they realize the cost of it, they start to secretly inflicting hardships onto the citizenry to pay for their irresponsible nanny-state promises. In this case, the implied “free healthcare for all” turned out to be not so free and not for all citizens.

State officials say they will abide by the high court’s decision, ( isn’t that refreshing) but will now have to figure out a way to pay for the extra $150 million shortfall in the state budget. ( They can always raise taxes on the working class to pay for their blunder, and just call them “fees” as mitt Romney did for his entire term as Governor)

Former Massachusetts Governor and 2012 GOP Presidential candidate Mitt Romney currently stated that RomneyCare is a perfect fit for the state of Massachusetts residents and is working to ensure all residents have health care. When people are promised anything free by the government, it never actually turns out to be free, as most things in life never do. The Cato Institute did a Policy Analysis of RomneyCare back in January 2010, two years before the high court decision that exposes the Massachusetts government barring over 29,000 legal immigrants from receiving RomneyCare health insurance. That analysis exposes how citizens were prodded to not reveal their true insurance status, (possibly to avoid the the penalties for not having health insurance) and that “the official estimate reported by the Commonwealth almost certainly overstates the law’s impact on insurance coverage, likely by 45 percent. The Policy Analysis paper also exposes the biggest piece of misinformation being used to champion RomneyCare as some form marvel of modern medicine and free gift-giving as follows: “Finally, we conclude that leading estimates understate the law’s cost by at least one third, and likely more.” (emphasis added)

These types of  big government lies and informational manipulating of the facts is exactly why  many 2012  GOP Primary voters are taking a closer look at Newt Gingrich today.  Newt Gingrich, as opposed to Mitt Romney, admits his mistakes, while Mitt Romney is still running around the country telling folks how great of an accomplishment RomneyCare was. How dishonest is that?  

Ron Paul Isn't Dead Yet

Yesterday I described the need to capitalize on Ron Paul’s following among younger voters. Despite predictions that his campaign is now on the decline, I don’t think we should count him out just yet.

Paul’s success to date has been attributed- rightly or wrongly- to the fact that Iowa allows same-day registration, and New Hampshire is an open primary state. As the theory goes, since the next several primaries are closed and require voters to be registered in advance, Paul’s success will diminish.

Let me throw a monkey wrench into this reasoning: Super Tuesday. In just over seven weeks, eleven states will hold primaries or begin caucuses on a single day. Here is the list:

Alaska
Georgia- open primary
Idaho- open primary, same-day registration
Massachusetts- open primary
North Dakota- open primary, no voter registration
Ohio
Oklahoma
Tennessee- open primary
Vermont- open primary
Virginia- open primary
Wyoming- same-day registration (caucus Tuesday to Friday)

See a pattern?

And while some will be quick to point out that Paul’s chance of success in states like Georgia or Tennessee are expected to be slim, let me remind the read that Paul finished only 2 percentage points’ difference from Romney in Iowa. Iowa. The “evangelical” state.

I think it’s clear by now that most of these states will go to Romney. Indeed, Doug Mataconis at Outside The Beltway makes the following predictions about Paul’s future in this primary season:

  • Ron Paul will not receive more than 23% of the vote in any contested primary or caucus going forward. By “contested” I mean a race where Mitt Romney still faces a serious challenge for the Republican nomination.
  • Ron Paul will not place higher than third in any contested primary or caucus in which there are more than three candidates in the race at the time
  • After the race whittles down to Romney and Paul (who will not get out of this race until the better end), there will not be a single two-person debate.
  • Ron Paul will not run as a third-party candidate in the fall.

But, as Brian Doherty at Reason points out, winning isn’t everything for Paul:

I have held my expectations in check for five years about the political possibilities of the whole “Ron Paul for President” thing, and he and his fans have exceeded them every step of the way. I vaguely saw the shape of what 2012 could mean for the ideas of liberty as represented by Paul, as written about in my forthcoming book Ron Paul’s Revolution, but never mustered enough hubris to predict its success with confidence. That confidence is beginning to seem justified about now. (Success, here, does not necessarily mean being the Republican candidate. But it does mean creating the solidified movement of ideas and passion that can grow to dominate American politics. That is, Romney is Rockefeller; Paul is Goldwater.) Paul’s encouraging early results this year are the most significant political results for the cause of liberty I could have imagined, arriving faster than I could have imagined. I expect it to only get more interesting from here.

Brian infers something which appeals to me: The idea that some of the libertarian mantra of individual liberty and economic freedom could sweep Republican politics even more than it already has. The fact that libertarian talking points- smaller government, economic freedoms, property rights, fiscal policy- have become mainstream within the GOP, is simply astonishing to me and other long-time Libertarians.

Ron Paul will hang around as long as he has money and support, and he has both in droves. If his supporters can weather him through the next seven weeks and bring him some success on Super Tuesday, that could be the bump he needs to maintain his support and keep him going for quite awhile longer. Doug makes another point in his post linked above:

The personality cult, the newsletters, and Paul’s ties to Paleoconservatives who think Abraham Lincoln was a tyrant and defend the Confederacy. This is not a good recipe for a “pro-liberty movement” at all. Rather than helping advance libertarianism, I’m coming to the conclusion that Ron Paul and his supporters are doing serious damage to it.

I echoed this point in an earlier post:

The best thing we can do to preserve “the Libertarian moment” is to cut Ron Paul loose. Yes, he was one of the formative figures in modern libertarianism. But he’s a liability to our movement we simply can’t afford.

While Paul is certainly bringing more attention to our cause, one has to wonder what the baggage fee for this attention will be.

New Hampshire results didn't change anything

Mitt Romney’s long-expected triumph in New Hampshire came to be and yet .. nothing changed.

New Hampshire is home to all of 12 total delegates in the GOP nomination fight where 1,144 are required to secure the republican spot which means having won the state doesn’t put Romney much closer to the end goal.

With no one changing anything in their election plans after New Hampshire, did it matter?

Conservatives are still searching for an alternative to Romney that will more closely line up with their principles which the Granite State was unable to define – being a mainly moderate-to-liberal area it should be no surprise.

South Carolina is the first primary in a Conservative state and will likely present Conservatives with the candidate that will be the anti-Romney – or if Romney runs away in the southern state, perhaps no alternative exists.

Look for Huntsman’s New Hampshire showing to fizzle in S.C., Paul and Perry will fight a place in the bottom half and Santorum/Gringrich will have another neck-and-neck battle, but this time for second. Romney will likely take South Carolina, but the question remains how decisive a win he manages.

 

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